潮汐计:从单一危险到多危险警报系统

IF 3.2 4区 地球科学 Q1 OCEANOGRAPHY
A. Hibbert, Liz Bradshaw, Jeff Pugh, S. Williams, P. Woodworth
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Of course, robust warning systems demand a comprehensive network of monitoring stations together with coordinated and timely notifications of impending hazards. Sadly, the impetus for such developments has often been provided by natural disasters. The UK Tide Gauge Network (UKTGN), for example, was formed primarily for the purposes of storm surge monitoring and forecasting following the 1953 North Sea storm surge that led to the loss of ~2,400 lives. More recently, the devastating Sumatran tsunami of 2004 galvanized international cooperation, via the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC), to establish and augment hazard warning tide gauge networks in high-risk areas such as the Indian Ocean and the Caribbean and Mediterranean Seas and to upgrade to modern near-real-time data transmission methods such as the Inmarsat Broadband Global Area Network (BGAN) system. 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Over the past few decades, a transition to radar, acoustic, or pressure-based tide gauges, together with advances in data-logging capacity, has enabled high frequency sampling (~1 Hz) that is also necessary for monitoring wave action; in addition, the co-location of Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) receivers with tide gauges has allowed scientists to infer the contributions of vertical land motion to rates of SLR. As a result, modern tide gauge networks are better equipped to monitor a wide range of sea level phenomena and are, therefore, viewed as multi-hazard warning systems. Of course, robust warning systems demand a comprehensive network of monitoring stations together with coordinated and timely notifications of impending hazards. Sadly, the impetus for such developments has often been provided by natural disasters. 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引用次数: 0

摘要

图1。一个刻在港口墙上的视觉“验潮器”的例子,显示了利物浦坎宁半潮码头入口处相对于老码头底面的水位标记,老码头底面的基准是1715年左右根据利物浦第一个码头的底面定义的参考基准。图片来源:Philip Woodworth,国家海洋学中心顾名思义,潮汐计最初是为了监测海平面的潮汐波动,以帮助安全航行和港口运营而设计的。早期的验潮仪,如18世纪末利物浦著名码头船长威廉·哈钦森使用的验潮器,只由海堤或海柱上的刻度标记组成,可以用肉眼测量海面(图1)。这些被用来记录并预测每天高水位和低水位的时间和高度;它们印在当地的潮汐表上,提供了潮汐变化的基本信息。在50年内,自动(或“自动登记”)消力井和浮子系统被开发出来,由一个装在一个大型垂直管中的浮子组成,该浮子通向大海。浮子会随着海面升降,通过滑轮系统连接到浮子上的笔,它的运动被记录在固定在时钟驱动的海图记录器上的纸质海图上。这首次产生了连续的海平面轨迹,使其他现象,如地震、风暴潮和海啸能够被清楚地识别出来。由于消力井的阻尼作用,海平面的非常高的频率变化,如波浪作用,仍然没有得到采样。通过几十年来这些测量仪的持续运行,从它们的记录中出现了长期危害的证据,例如与气候变化相关的海平面上升,政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)的重要定期评估现在正在考虑这一主题。在过去的几十年里,向雷达、声学或基于压力的潮汐计的转变,加上数据记录能力的进步,实现了高频采样(~1Hz),这也是监测波浪作用所必需的;此外,全球导航卫星系统(GNSS)接收器与潮汐计的共同定位使科学家能够推断垂直陆地运动对SLR速率的贡献。因此,现代验潮网络能够更好地监测各种海平面现象,因此被视为多危险警报系统。当然,健全的预警系统需要一个全面的监测站网络,以及对即将发生的危险进行协调和及时的通知。令人遗憾的是,自然灾害往往为这种发展提供了动力。例如,英国验潮网(UKTGN)的成立主要是为了监测和预测1953年北海风暴潮后的风暴潮,该风暴潮导致约2400人丧生。最近,2004年毁灭性的苏门答腊海啸激发了国际合作,通过政府间海洋学委员会,在印度洋、加勒比海和地中海等高风险地区建立和加强危险警报潮汐测量网络,并升级为现代近实时数据传输方法,如国际海事卫星组织宽带全球区域网络系统。BGAN系统最初是为从英国南大西洋潮汐测量网络的远程站点检索数据而定制的,该网络的建立主要是为了监测南大西洋和南大洋环极海洋运输的变化。然而,该网络现在也是偏远的西南大西洋海啸探测的主要手段(图2),那里目前没有协调的国际预警系统。这就引出了潮汐计在灾害预警中的作用的一个重要问题:虽然一些潮汐计只是作为操作工具与数值模型一起嵌入专门的海啸和/或风暴潮预警系统中,但如果没有数据收集后的一些科学评估,它们永远无法真正实现多灾害状态。规划者和土木工程师要求的海防设计水平只能通过全面的风险评估得出,使用质量控制的观测数据来估计组合式验潮器:从单一危险到多危险警报系统
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Tide Gauges: From Single Hazard to Multi-Hazard Warning Systems
FIGURE 1. An example of a visual “tide gauge” engraved on a harbor wall, showing tide level markings at the entrance to Canning Half-Tide Dock, Liverpool, relative to the Old Dock Sill datum, a reference datum defined around 1715 in terms of the sill of Liverpool’s first dock. Photo credit: Philip Woodworth, National Oceanography Centre As the name suggests, tide gauges were originally devised for the singular purpose of monitoring tidal fluctuations in sea level in order to aid safe navigation and port operations. Early tide gauges, such as that used by the famous dockmaster William Hutchinson at Liverpool in the late eighteenth century, consisted of little more than graduated markers on sea walls or posts, against which the sea surface could be measured by eye (Figure 1). These were used to record and then forecast the times and heights of high and low water each day; printed in local tide tables, they provided rudimentary information on variations in the tide. Within 50 years, automatic (or “self-registering”) stilling well and float systems were developed, consisting of a float housed in a large vertical tube, with an opening to the sea. The float would rise and fall with the sea surface and, by means of a pen connected to the float via a pulley system, its movements were captured on a paper chart fixed to a clock-driven chart recorder. This, for the first time, produced a continuous sea level trace, allowing other phenomena such as seiches, storm surges, and tsunamis to be clearly identified. Very high frequency variations in sea level, such as wave action, remained unsampled due to the damping effect of the stilling wells. Through continued operation of these gauges over many decades, evidence of longer-term hazards emerged from their records, such as climate change-related sea level rise (SLR), a topic that is now considered in the important regular assessments of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Over the past few decades, a transition to radar, acoustic, or pressure-based tide gauges, together with advances in data-logging capacity, has enabled high frequency sampling (~1 Hz) that is also necessary for monitoring wave action; in addition, the co-location of Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) receivers with tide gauges has allowed scientists to infer the contributions of vertical land motion to rates of SLR. As a result, modern tide gauge networks are better equipped to monitor a wide range of sea level phenomena and are, therefore, viewed as multi-hazard warning systems. Of course, robust warning systems demand a comprehensive network of monitoring stations together with coordinated and timely notifications of impending hazards. Sadly, the impetus for such developments has often been provided by natural disasters. The UK Tide Gauge Network (UKTGN), for example, was formed primarily for the purposes of storm surge monitoring and forecasting following the 1953 North Sea storm surge that led to the loss of ~2,400 lives. More recently, the devastating Sumatran tsunami of 2004 galvanized international cooperation, via the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC), to establish and augment hazard warning tide gauge networks in high-risk areas such as the Indian Ocean and the Caribbean and Mediterranean Seas and to upgrade to modern near-real-time data transmission methods such as the Inmarsat Broadband Global Area Network (BGAN) system. The BGAN system was originally custom built to retrieve data from the remote stations of the UK’s South Atlantic Tide Gauge Network, which was established with the primary scientific aim of monitoring variability in circumpolar ocean transport in the South Atlantic and Southern Ocean. However, the network is now also the primary means of tsunami detection in the remote Southwest Atlantic (Figure 2), where there is presently no coordinated international early warning system. This brings us to an important point about the role of tide gauges in hazard warning: while some gauges are embedded solely as operational tools alongside numerical models within dedicated tsunami and/or storm surge early warning systems, they can never truly achieve multi-hazard status without some scientific evaluation after data collection. Design levels for sea defenses required by planners and civil engineers can only be derived thorough risk assessments, using qualitycontrolled observational data to estimate the combined Tide Gauges: From Single Hazard to Multi-Hazard Warning Systems
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来源期刊
Oceanography
Oceanography 地学-海洋学
CiteScore
6.10
自引率
3.60%
发文量
39
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: First published in July 1988, Oceanography is the official magazine of The Oceanography Society. It contains peer-reviewed articles that chronicle all aspects of ocean science and its applications. In addition, Oceanography solicits and publishes news and information, meeting reports, hands-on laboratory exercises, career profiles, book reviews, and shorter, editor-reviewed articles that address public policy and education and how they are affected by science and technology. We encourage submission of short papers to the Breaking Waves section that describe novel approaches to multidisciplinary problems in ocean science.
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