Jesse Davis, Laurens Devos, S. Reyners, W. Schoutens
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In this paper, we discuss how tree-based machine learning techniques can be used in the context of derivatives pricing. Gradient boosted regression trees are employed to learn the pricing map for a couple of classical, time-consuming problems in quantitative finance. In particular, we illustrate this methodology by reducing computation times for pricing exotic derivative products and American options. Once the gradient boosting model is trained, it is used to make fast predictions of new prices. We show that this approach leads to speed-ups of several orders of magnitude, while the loss of accuracy is very acceptable from a practical point of view. Besides the predictive performance of machine learning methods, financial regulators attach more and more importance to the interpretability of pricing models. For both applications, we therefore look under the hood of the gradient boosting model and try to reveal how the price is constructed and interpreted.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Computational Finance is an international peer-reviewed journal dedicated to advancing knowledge in the area of financial mathematics. The journal is focused on the measurement, management and analysis of financial risk, and provides detailed insight into numerical and computational techniques in the pricing, hedging and risk management of financial instruments. The journal welcomes papers dealing with innovative computational techniques in the following areas: Numerical solutions of pricing equations: finite differences, finite elements, and spectral techniques in one and multiple dimensions. Simulation approaches in pricing and risk management: advances in Monte Carlo and quasi-Monte Carlo methodologies; new strategies for market factors simulation. Optimization techniques in hedging and risk management. Fundamental numerical analysis relevant to finance: effect of boundary treatments on accuracy; new discretization of time-series analysis. Developments in free-boundary problems in finance: alternative ways and numerical implications in American option pricing.