论平均速度执法系统对减少公路事故的影响:来自意大利安全导师的证据

IF 2.2 3区 工程技术 Q2 ECONOMICS
Mattia Borsati , Michele Cascarano , Flavio Bazzana
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引用次数: 11

摘要

2005年底,意大利高速公路协会(ASPI)和意大利交通警察逐步在意大利收费高速公路网络上部署了一个名为“安全导师”的平均速度执法系统,该系统能够确定车辆在较长路段的平均速度,以鼓励驾驶员遵守速度限制并提高安全性。本研究的目的是实证检验2001-2017年期间,“安全导师”在多大程度上减少了意大利高速公路上的总事故和致命事故。为此,我们使用一个独特的面板数据集进行了广义的差中差估计,该数据集利用了所有收费高速公路部门在准实验环境中的异构事故数据。为了处理安全导师站点的非随机放置的潜在内质性,我们使用了一种工具变量策略,通过使用ASPI及其控制的特许经营者从2005年起(即当技术可用时)管理的高速公路部门网络作为预测安全导师采用的工具。我们发现,安全导师覆盖面每增加10%,总事故平均减少3.9%,而没有证据表明安全导师在减少致命事故方面有显著的因果效应。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
On the impact of average speed enforcement systems in reducing highway accidents: Evidence from the Italian Safety Tutor

At the end of 2005, Autostrade per l’Italia (ASPI) and the Italian traffic police progressively deployed along the Italian tolled motorway network an average speed enforcement system, named Safety Tutor, able to determine the average speed of vehicles over a long section to encourage drivers to comply with speed limits and improve safety. The aim of this study was to empirically test the extent to which Safety Tutor led to a reduction in both total and fatal accidents on Italian highways during the period of 2001–2017. To do so, we carried out a generalized difference-in-differences estimation using a unique panel dataset that exploits the heterogeneous accident data within all tolled motorway sectors in a quasi-experimental setting. To deal with the potential endogeneity of the non-random placement of Safety Tutor sites, we utilized an instrumental variable strategy by using the network of motorway sectors managed by ASPI and its controlled concessionaires from 2005 onwards (i.e., when the technology was available) as an instrument to predict Safety Tutor adoption. We found that a 10% increase in Safety Tutor coverage led to an average reduction in total accidents of 3.9%, whereas there is no evidence of a significant causal effect of Safety Tutor in reducing fatal accidents.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.50
自引率
7.10%
发文量
19
审稿时长
69 days
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