确定小企业活动中国家经济风险监管主题中的利益模式

S. Achkasova, C. Wu, A. Alfimova
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引用次数: 2

摘要

在世界经济全球化和一体化进程加剧的过程中,小企业的活动越来越面临新的经济风险。这说明了确定对经济风险主题的兴趣水平和动态的必要性,以及改进国家监管体系的新需求。本研究的目的是对评估利益水平和做出决策的过程进行建模,以改进国家对经济风险的监管机制。该研究方法基于互联网资源分析方法、预测方法、指数平滑方法、决策支持系统(以下简称DSS)决策助手等。在确定对经济风险主题的兴趣水平并对其进行分析时,根据乌克兰语、西班牙语、中文和英语中“经济风险”类别的搜索查询,使用了谷歌趋势网络应用工具。基于所获得的数据,为“经济风险”和“经济风险“概念的搜索查询分布图构建了趋势线模型,这些模型具有令人满意的近似可靠性值,可用于预测。与此同时,用于分析乌克兰用户兴趣趋势的趋势模型质量较低。利用DSS决策帮助器,对国家监管小企业活动经济风险的备选方案进行了评估。特别是,确定了将改进税收程序作为最有效和最相关的机制的优先事项。研究结果的实际意义表明,所制定的建议可用于评估对经济风险主题的兴趣水平和动态,以及对其国家监管做出决策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
DETERMINING PATTERNS OF INTEREST IN THE THEME OF STATE REGULATION OF ECONOMIC RISK IN SMALL ENTERPRISES ACTIVITY
In the course of the intensification of globalization and integration processes in the world economy, activities of small enterprises are becoming increasingly exposed to new economic risks. This accounts for the necessity to determine the level and dynamics of interest in the theme of economic risk as well as for the emerging need to improve the system of its state regulation. The purpose of the research is to model the processes of assessing the level of interest and making decisions to improve the mechanisms of state regulation of economic risk. The research methodology is based on the use of the method of Internet resources analysis, the method of forecasting, the method of exponential smoothing, the decision support system (hereinafter DSS) Decision Making Helper, etc. In determining the level of interest in the theme of economic risk and conducting an analysis of it, Google Trends web application tools were used based on search queries for the category “economic risk” in Ukrainian, Spanish, Chinese and English. Based on the obtained data, trend line models were constructed for the distribution diagrams of search queries for the concepts of “riesgo económico” and “economic risk”, which have a satisfactory value of approximation reliability and can be used for forecasting. At the same time, the trend models for analysing user interest trends in Ukraine are of low quality. With the use of the DSS Decision Making Helper, the assessment of alternative options for state regulation of economic risk in small enterprises activities was carried out. In particular, the priority of improving the taxation process as the most effective and relevant mechanism was determined. The practical significance of the research findings suggests that the developed proposals can be applied in assessing the level and dynamics of interest in the theme of economic risk as well as in making decisions on its state regulation.
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