恶劣天气和航班延误:突发和缓慢发生的天气事件的影响

IF 2.2 3区 工程技术 Q2 ECONOMICS
Stefan Borsky , Christian Unterberger
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引用次数: 60

摘要

天气冲击经常损害运输系统的正常运行。我们使用了2012年1月至2017年9月期间从美国10个大型机场起飞的214万次航班的数据集,并估计了突发事件(即降水和风)和缓慢事件(即温度)对起飞延误的影响。对于突发事件,我们采用差分中的差分框架,允许在小时水平上进行推断。基于带面板校正标准误差的Prais Winstein估计估计了慢起事件对起飞延误的影响。我们的估计显示,根据天气类型和干扰强度,起飞延误显著增加,最多可达23 分钟。考虑到进度延误的社会成本,这些结果具有很高的经济重要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Bad weather and flight delays: The impact of sudden and slow onset weather events

Weather shocks frequently impair the smooth functioning of transportation systems. We use a dataset consisting of 2.14 million flight departures from ten large U.S. airports between January 2012 and September 2017, and estimate the effects sudden onset events, i.e., precipitation and wind, and slow onset events, i.e., temperature, have on departure delay. For sudden onset events, we apply a difference-in-difference framework that allows for inferences at the hourly level. The effects of slow onset events on departure delay are estimated based on a Prais Winstein estimator with panel-corrected standard errors. Our estimates show a significant increase in departure delay of up to 23 min depending on the weather type and intensity of the disturbance. Given the social costs of schedule delays, these results are of high economic importance.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.50
自引率
7.10%
发文量
19
审稿时长
69 days
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