核“一带一路”:中国进入国际核市场

G. Toropchin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

中国国内核能市场的快速发展,在国际舞台上的崛起,以及宣布向绿色经济转型,对中国作为全球核技术出口国进入国际原子能市场的愿望起到了至关重要的推动作用。本文的目的是界定支撑这一雄心勃勃的努力的政治和思想基础,并从短期和中期的角度预测相关的发展。作者运用一般的科学方法,以及统计和比较分析来挑选出中国核市场拓展的方向,包括区域和全球。巴基斯坦被广泛视为中国核工程技术出口的典范,在更广泛的亚太地区仍是唯一的此类合作伙伴。这篇文章表明,“一带一路”倡议(特别是绿色丝绸之路),在所有多种形式中,可以说是中国政府选择的最合适的框架,以扩大其在核领域的影响力,填补西屋和阿海珐(现奥拉诺)在遇到财务问题后重组后形成的一定空白。与此同时,中国在核技术领域争取领导地位的努力受到一些障碍的阻碍。其中包括俄罗斯在核工程突破性领域的主导地位和俄罗斯国家原子能公司(Rosatom)的巨大市场份额,以及一些国家的精英缺乏在这一战略领域与中国建立联系的政治意愿,而是选择竞争。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Atomic Belt and Road: China’s international nuclear market entry
Rapid development of China’s internal nuclear market, together with its rise on the international arena and the declared transition to green economy, gave a crucial impetus to its aspirations to enter the international atomic market as a global exporter of nuclear technology. The aim of this article is to define the political and ideological foundations underpinning such an ambitious endeavor, as well as predict the related development in the short and mid-term perspective. The author utilizes both general scientific methods as well as statistical and comparative analysis to single out the directions of China’s nuclear market outreach, both regionally and globally. Pakistan, widely presented as a flagship example of China’s exporting its know-how in nuclear engineering, remains the only partner of a kind in the broader Asia-Pacific. This article demonstrates that Belt and Road Initiative (specifically, the Green Silk Road), out of all multiple formats, was arguably chosen by the Chinese government as the most suitable framework for expanding its influence in the nuclear domain and filling a certain gap which formed after Westinghouse and Areva (now Orano) got reorganised after encountering financial problems. At the same time, China’s bid for leadership in the sphere of nuclear technology is obstructed by some impediments. Among them are Russia’s dominance in breakthrough areas of nuclear engineering and Rosatom’s large market share, as well as lack of political will in some countries’ elites to build ties with China in this strategic realm, opting for competition instead.
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