月份对加密货币市场和投资组合管理的影响

A. Plastun, A. O. Drofa, Tetyana Viktorivna Klyushnik
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引用次数: 5

摘要

目的-调查加密货币市场中的月份效应。设计/方法/方法的研究。使用了许多参数和非参数技术,包括平均分析、学生t检验、方差分析、Kruskal-Wallis统计检验和使用虚拟变量的回归分析。发现。一般来说(在整体测试的情况下-当所有数据一次分析时),日历中的月份效应不存在于加密货币市场中。但是,单独测试的结果(来自“可疑异常”时期的数据与所有其他数据,除了属于“异常数据集”的值)表明,7月和8月的回报率远低于其他月份的回报率。这是购买比特币最糟糕的月份。理论的影响。本文的结果声称发现了加密货币市场效率中的一些漏洞,这些漏洞可以被利用。这与有效市场假说相矛盾。实际意义。本文的结果声称发现了加密货币市场效率中的一些漏洞,这些漏洞可以被利用。这为加密货币市场的有效投资组合管理提供了机会。创意/值。这篇论文是第一篇探讨加密货币市场中的月份效应的论文。纸型-经验型。作者感谢乌克兰教育和科学部(0117U003936)的资助。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Month of the year effect in the cryptocurrency market and portfolio management
Purpose – to investigate the Month of the year effect in the cryptocurrency market. Design/Method/Research Approach. A number of parametric and non-parametric technics are used, including average analysis, Student's t-test, ANOVA, Kruskal-Wallis statistic test, and regression analysis with the use of dummy variables. Findings. In general (case of overall testing – when all data is analyzed at once) calendar the Month of the Year Effect is not present in the cryptocurrency market. But results of separate testing (data from the period “suspicious for being anomaly” with all the rest of the data, except the values which belong to the “anomaly data set”) shows that July and August returns are much lower than returns on other months. These are the worst months to buy Bitcoins. Theoretical implications. Results of this paper claim to find some holes in the efficiency of the cryptocurrency market, which can be exploited. This contradicts the Efficient Market Hypothesis. Practical implications. Results of this paper claim to find some holes in the efficiency of the cryptocurrency market, which can be exploited. This provides opportunities for effective portfolio management in the cryptocurrency market. Originality/Value. This paper is the first to explore Month of the Year Effect in the cryptocurrency market.   Paper type – empirical.   Authors gratefully acknowledge financial support from the Ministry of Education and Science of Ukraine (0117U003936).
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