经济衰退时期的东盟股市与中国的共同整合与传染效应

Nur Chalimah, R. S. Witiastuti
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在寻找2015-2017年中华人民共和国经济放缓期间,共同一体化与传染效应对中华人民共和国和东盟股市影响关系的实证证据。本研究的样本为中华人民共和国曼谷、印度尼西亚、老挝、马来西亚、菲律宾、新加坡、泰国和越南的股市。本研究中使用的数据是从www.bloomberg.com获得的综合股价指数的二次数据。本研究使用的研究方法是向量自回归(VAR)。测试结果显示,曼谷经济放缓对曼谷和东盟的平均JCI指数没有影响。曼谷人民共和国和东盟的平均JCI存在共同一体化。印尼股市JCI指数不受曼谷和东盟股市JCI指数影响。曼谷和东盟的平均JCI指数存在传染效应。根据研究结果得出结论,当经济放缓时,曼谷和东盟的平均JCI指数会出现协整和传染效应。文章信息文章历史:2020年7月收到2020年8月批准2020年9月发布
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Co-Integration and Contagion Effect in Republic of Tiongkok and Asean Stock Market during The Economic Slowdown in Republic of Tiongkok
This study aims to find empirical evidence of the relationship of co-integration and contagion effect on the stock market in the People’s Republic of Tiongkok and ASEAN during economic slowdown in the People’s Republic of Tiongkok in 20152017. The samples in this study were the stock market of the People’s Republic of Tiongkok, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam. The data used in the study are secondary data from the Composite Stock Price Index obtained from www.bloomberg.com. The research method used in this study is Vector Autoregression (VAR). The test results show that economic slowdown in the People’s Republic of Tiongkok has no effect on the average JCI of the People’s Republic of Tiongkok and ASEAN. There is co-integration in the average JCI of the People’s Republic of Tiongkok and ASEAN. The average Indonesian JCI is not affected by the JCI average of the People’s Republic of Tiongkok and ASEAN. There is contagion effect on the average JCI of the People’s Republic of Tiongkok and ASEAN. Based on the results of the study it were concluded that cointegration and contagion effects occurs on the average JCI in the People’s Republic of Tiongkok and ASEAN when economic slowdown occurs. Article Information Article History: Received July 2020 Approved August 2020 Published September 2020
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