{"title":"快速的气候变化需要变革性的政策和科学思维——一篇社论","authors":"J. Byrne, P. Lund, Job Taminiau","doi":"10.1002/wene.428","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The recent publication of the Sixth Assessment Report on Climate Change (AR6) by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (IPCC, 2021) reveals an increasingly difficult challenge: the nature and rate of change in the world's climate due to human activity is occurring at a pace faster than the best science and research is organized to report. Successive IPCC reports, for example, document changes that often are out of date by the time it takes the Panel to organize an assessment. serious problems with policy designs that rely on known current costs and which will almost certainly be wrong tomorrow. And, even more concerning, policy designs built on the knowns of social and economic valuation imply that climate change is an incremental process. From the available evidence, this assumption is clearly no longer valid. Policy designs need to immediately move away from approaches meant to balance incremental social and economic costs and benefits and face the reality of “ compounding extremes ” (a concept introduced in the latest IPCC report).","PeriodicalId":48766,"journal":{"name":"Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Energy and Environment","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.4000,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Rapid climate transformation requires transformative policy and science thinking—An editorial essay\",\"authors\":\"J. Byrne, P. Lund, Job Taminiau\",\"doi\":\"10.1002/wene.428\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The recent publication of the Sixth Assessment Report on Climate Change (AR6) by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (IPCC, 2021) reveals an increasingly difficult challenge: the nature and rate of change in the world's climate due to human activity is occurring at a pace faster than the best science and research is organized to report. Successive IPCC reports, for example, document changes that often are out of date by the time it takes the Panel to organize an assessment. serious problems with policy designs that rely on known current costs and which will almost certainly be wrong tomorrow. And, even more concerning, policy designs built on the knowns of social and economic valuation imply that climate change is an incremental process. From the available evidence, this assumption is clearly no longer valid. Policy designs need to immediately move away from approaches meant to balance incremental social and economic costs and benefits and face the reality of “ compounding extremes ” (a concept introduced in the latest IPCC report).\",\"PeriodicalId\":48766,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Energy and Environment\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":5.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Energy and Environment\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1002/wene.428\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ENERGY & FUELS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Energy and Environment","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1002/wene.428","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ENERGY & FUELS","Score":null,"Total":0}
The recent publication of the Sixth Assessment Report on Climate Change (AR6) by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (IPCC, 2021) reveals an increasingly difficult challenge: the nature and rate of change in the world's climate due to human activity is occurring at a pace faster than the best science and research is organized to report. Successive IPCC reports, for example, document changes that often are out of date by the time it takes the Panel to organize an assessment. serious problems with policy designs that rely on known current costs and which will almost certainly be wrong tomorrow. And, even more concerning, policy designs built on the knowns of social and economic valuation imply that climate change is an incremental process. From the available evidence, this assumption is clearly no longer valid. Policy designs need to immediately move away from approaches meant to balance incremental social and economic costs and benefits and face the reality of “ compounding extremes ” (a concept introduced in the latest IPCC report).
期刊介绍:
Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environmentis a new type of review journal covering all aspects of energy technology, security and environmental impact.
Energy is one of the most critical resources for the welfare and prosperity of society. It also causes adverse environmental and societal effects, notably climate change which is the severest global problem in the modern age. Finding satisfactory solutions to the challenges ahead will need a linking of energy technology innovations, security, energy poverty, and environmental and climate impacts. The broad scope of energy issues demands collaboration between different disciplines of science and technology, and strong interaction between engineering, physical and life scientists, economists, sociologists and policy-makers.