外国游客在经济增长中的作用:来自印度尼西亚的证据

Muhammad Azizurrohman, Romi Bhakti Hartarto, Yih-ming Lin, Faiza Husnayeni Nahar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

外国旅游业被认为是鼓励包括印度尼西亚在内的几个国家经济增长的重要工具之一。然而,一些研究只关注游客到达的影响。因此,本研究的主要目的是深入研究外国旅游指标对印度尼西亚经济增长的贡献。本研究利用2006年至2016年间来自33个国家的面板数据分析,应用了三个模型:汇集最小二乘法(PLS)、固定效应模型(FEM)和随机效应模型(FEM)。基于固定效应模型,本研究揭示了外国游客对经济增长的显著正向影响。然而,外国游客的停留时间和支出等其他旅游指标似乎对经济增长没有贡献。从这些发现可以看出,印尼政府不仅应该吸引更多的游客前来,还应该制定策略,鼓励游客花更多的钱,停留更长的时间。这项研究还发现,印尼货币贬值和免签证政策对更高的经济增长有重要贡献。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Role of Foreign Tourists in Economic Growth: Evidence from Indonesia
Foreign tourism is indicated as one of the important instruments to encourage economic growth in several countries, including Indonesia. However, some studies only focus on the influence of tourist arrivals. Thus, the main objective of this study is to take a deeper look at the contribution of foreign tourism indicators to economic growth in Indonesia. Using panel data analysis from 33 countries between 2006 and 2016, this study applies three models: Pooled Least Square (PLS), Fixed Effect Model (FEM), and Random Effect Model (FEM). Based on the fixed-effect model, this study reveals that foreign tourist arrivals have a significant and positive effect on economic growth. However, other tourism indicators such as length of stay and expenditure of foreign tourists appear to have no contribution to economic growth. From these findings, it can be implied that the Indonesian government should not only attract more tourists to come but also design strategies to encourage tourists to spend more money and stay longer. This study also finds that depreciation of Indonesian currency and visa-free policies have a significant contribution to higher economic growth.
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