The Forecast for Scientific and Technological Development in Russia: How Realistic Is This Mechanism of Strategic Planning?

ABSTRACT The article discusses the theoretical and methodological foundations for “The Long-Term Forecast of Scientific and Technological (S&T) Development in Russia until 2030” and argues that its authors have failed to fully conceptualize the modern global economy (thereby misrepresenting Russia’s long-term development interests and characteristic challenges), which casts doubt on the methodological foundation for the project. The S&T Forecast’s orientation toward the tactical (economic) goals of scientific–technical activity reduces its value as a strategic planning tool. A more consistent application of the systematic approach to scientific–technological development as an integrated national economic complex would significantly improve the S&T Forecast.