世界各国采伐木制品中的碳储量

IF 0.1 4区 农林科学 Q4 MATERIALS SCIENCE, PAPER & WOOD
Akiko Suyari, Yushin Shinoda, Chihiro Kayo
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引用次数: 2

摘要

为了支持减缓气候变化的措施,我们估计了1961年至2016年世界各国采伐木材产品(HWP)的碳储量。以储量变化法(SCA)为碳核算方法,以一阶衰减函数(FOD)为衰减函数,估计2016年HWP全球碳储量约为733亿吨碳(t-C),比过去55年增加了2.5倍。确认2015 - 2016年全球碳储量年增幅约为11亿t-C/年,为整个目标期内的最大值。在全国范围内,2016年HWP碳储量由大到小依次为美国、中国、俄罗斯联邦和日本。从2015年至2016年的碳储量年增量来看,中国对全球年增量的贡献最大,近67%。另一方面,2016年《京都议定书》第二承诺期生产方法下的全球碳储量估计约为SCA下的68%,表明PAkp可以保守估计HWP下的全球碳储量。此外,利用正态分布计算得到的碳储量年际变化与利用FOD计算得到的碳储量年际变化有显著差异,这表明需要重新考虑用衰减函数来估计HWP碳储量的合适方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Carbon Stocks in Harvested Wood Products in Various Countries of the World
With the aim of supporting measures for climate change mitigation, we estimated carbon stocks in harvested wood products (HWP) in various countries of the world between 1961 and 2016. Global carbon stocks in HWP in 2016 under the stock change approach (SCA) as the carbon accounting approach and first order decay (FOD) as the decay function were estimated to be approximately 73.3 hundred million tons of carbon (t-C), which represents an increase of 2.5 times over the past 55 years. It was confirmed that the annual increase of global carbon stocks between 2015 and 2016 was approximately 1.1 hundred million t-C/year, which was the maximum value during the entire target period. At the national scale, in 2016, the largest carbon stocks of HWP, listed in descending order, were in the United States of America, China, the Russian Federation, and Japan. With respect to the annual increase of carbon stocks for the period from 2015 to 2016, China contributed the most to the global annual increase, nearly 67% of the total. On the other hand, global carbon stocks in 2016 under the production approach for the second commitment period of the Kyoto Protocol (PAkp) were estimated to be approximately 68% of those under the SCA, revealing that the PAkp could conservatively estimate the global carbon stocks in HWP. Furthermore, annual changes of carbon stocks obtained using the normal distribution varied significantly from those obtained using the FOD, suggesting that decay functions for an appropriate method for estimating carbon stocks of HWP need to be reconsidered.
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来源期刊
Mokuzai Gakkaishi
Mokuzai Gakkaishi 工程技术-材料科学:纸与木材
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