里海地区:地缘政治舞台。利益冲突和能源安全

Civitas et Lex Pub Date : 2020-10-03 DOI:10.31648/CETL.5138
Khayal Iskandarov, Vugar Mammadzada Mahammadali, Arzuman Gasanov Gardashkhan
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引用次数: 2

摘要

里海地区是世界上最重要的地区之一,其丰富的碳氢化合物资源也引起了不同国家的关注。本文的目的是强调里海流域的地缘政治重要性及其能源资源对非区域国家能源安全的影响。本文对“世纪契约”的实现作了具体阐述。对俄罗斯的霸权进行了评价,介绍了北上路线的特点。作者试图描绘美国在里海地区的战略,并判断从里海延伸的西方路线的安全性。里海的状况已根据最新资料得到澄清。已查明对过境路线安全的威胁,并采取措施防止可能发生的事件。提出了一个公式,用于对可预见的未来可能发生的管道恐怖袭击进行数学评估。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
CASPIAN REGION: GEOPOLITICAL ARENA. CLASH OF INTERESTS AND ENERGY SECURITY
The Caspian region is one of the most important regions of the world with its rich hydrocarbon resources, which in turn draws attention from different countries. The purpose of this paper is to underscore the geopolitical importance of the Caspian basin and the impact of its energy resources on the energy security of non-regional countries. The realization of the “Contract of the century” has been specified in the paper. Russian hegemony has been evaluated and the characteristic features of Northern route have been introduced. The authors attempted to delineate the US’ strategy in the Caspian region and to judge the security of the Western route stretching from the Caspian Sea. The status of the Caspian Sea has been clarified based on the most recent information. Threats to the security of the transit routes have been identified and measures have been offered to prevent possible incidents. A formula was suggested for the mathematical evaluation of possible terrorist attacks on the pipelines in the foreseeable future.
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