波动中断点的检测

V. Fernandez
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引用次数: 11

摘要

在本文中,我们通过两种替代方法测试波动性中结构性断裂的存在:迭代累积平方和(ICSS)算法和小波分析。具体来说,我们着眼于亚洲金融危机的爆发和2001年9月11日的恐怖袭击对新兴亚洲的影响。欧洲。拉丁美洲和北美的股票市场。此外,我们还将重点放在2001年8月智利央行将其货币政策利率从通胀指标化目标转变为名义目标后的利率行为上。我们的估计结果表明,当过滤掉条件异方差和序列相关性的数据时,两种方法检测到的移位数量大大减少。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Detection of Breakpoints in Volatility
In this article, we test for the presence of structural breaks in volatility by two alternative approaches: the Iterative Cumulative Sum of Squares (ICSS) algorithm and wavelet analysis. Specifically, we look at the effect of the outbreak of the Asian crisis and the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001 on Emerging Asia. Europe. Latin America and North America's stock markets. In addition, we focus on the behavior of interest rates in Chile after the Central Bank switched its monetary policy interest rate from an inflation-indexed to a nominal target in August 2001. Our estimation results show that the number of shifts detected by the two methods is substantially reduced when filtering out the data for both conditional heteroskedasticity and serial correlation.
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