{"title":"2019年新冠肺炎全球无症状感染者——这会成为未来疫情复发的定时炸弹吗?监控策略的系统综述","authors":"S. Davey, R. Jain, Anuradha Davey","doi":"10.17352/2455-5479.000103","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Background: Covid 2019 Infection can be considered a disease typically following Ice berg Phenomenon, where actual large no of submerged cases are inside and can become threat to human beings as immunity development to SARS –CoV-2 cannot be forever. Studies across the World have suggested that out of many important research questions- the problem of asymptomatic and presymptomatic virus shedding is one of the most gray area in management of COVID 20019 pandemic across the world. \nObjective: Unrecognized threat of Incubatory carriers as well as asymptomatic cases becoming a re-infection pool to Global Community can be very dangerous for whole world. So a strategy for further Management of asymptomatic and presymptomatic CORONA +ve cases needs urgent appraisal, if we have to prevent future recurrence of COVID 2019 Pandemic. That why a systematic research is crucial in this regard, as attempted by authors in this article. \nMaterial & methods: As per PRISMA(2009) guidelines protocol, search of various kinds of studies in any form ;using five key search words: ‘Asymptomatic’, “Presymptomatic” “COVID 2019 Infection Surveillance, Pandemic, Recurrence ” was done in all health related websites of Google, PubMed, EMBASE, MEDLINE, Global Health, , Biomed‑Central, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, world library ‑ World‑Cat, from 1 January, 2020 to 25th April 2020 for systematic‑review, followed by Meta-Analysis. \nResults: Out of wide variety of 31 studies available in literature related to this topic,20 were found to be eligible for issues synthesis, from which 2 crucial themes of Surveillance of Symptomatics and Asymptomatic & Presymptomatics emerged. The Symptomatics surveillance was good in the form of Isolation and Quarantine across the World; but the real problem was of Asymptomatic post discharge surveillance, which was only in nascent stage in many countries across the world including developing countries such as India. \nConclusion: Lack of asymptomatic post discharge surveillance may cause a real havoc in future, if no strategy is chalked out by governments across the World, leading to possible recurrence of COVID 2019 Pandemic. However authors suggest more future research studies, before we can say it very definitively that it will certainly happen.","PeriodicalId":87221,"journal":{"name":"Archives of community medicine and public health","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-08-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"COVID 2019 asymptomatic infections across the World- can it be a Time Bomb for Future Pandemic Recurrence? A Systematic Review of surveillance strategies\",\"authors\":\"S. Davey, R. Jain, Anuradha Davey\",\"doi\":\"10.17352/2455-5479.000103\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Background: Covid 2019 Infection can be considered a disease typically following Ice berg Phenomenon, where actual large no of submerged cases are inside and can become threat to human beings as immunity development to SARS –CoV-2 cannot be forever. Studies across the World have suggested that out of many important research questions- the problem of asymptomatic and presymptomatic virus shedding is one of the most gray area in management of COVID 20019 pandemic across the world. \\nObjective: Unrecognized threat of Incubatory carriers as well as asymptomatic cases becoming a re-infection pool to Global Community can be very dangerous for whole world. So a strategy for further Management of asymptomatic and presymptomatic CORONA +ve cases needs urgent appraisal, if we have to prevent future recurrence of COVID 2019 Pandemic. That why a systematic research is crucial in this regard, as attempted by authors in this article. \\nMaterial & methods: As per PRISMA(2009) guidelines protocol, search of various kinds of studies in any form ;using five key search words: ‘Asymptomatic’, “Presymptomatic” “COVID 2019 Infection Surveillance, Pandemic, Recurrence ” was done in all health related websites of Google, PubMed, EMBASE, MEDLINE, Global Health, , Biomed‑Central, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, world library ‑ World‑Cat, from 1 January, 2020 to 25th April 2020 for systematic‑review, followed by Meta-Analysis. \\nResults: Out of wide variety of 31 studies available in literature related to this topic,20 were found to be eligible for issues synthesis, from which 2 crucial themes of Surveillance of Symptomatics and Asymptomatic & Presymptomatics emerged. The Symptomatics surveillance was good in the form of Isolation and Quarantine across the World; but the real problem was of Asymptomatic post discharge surveillance, which was only in nascent stage in many countries across the world including developing countries such as India. \\nConclusion: Lack of asymptomatic post discharge surveillance may cause a real havoc in future, if no strategy is chalked out by governments across the World, leading to possible recurrence of COVID 2019 Pandemic. However authors suggest more future research studies, before we can say it very definitively that it will certainly happen.\",\"PeriodicalId\":87221,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Archives of community medicine and public health\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-08-29\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Archives of community medicine and public health\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.17352/2455-5479.000103\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Archives of community medicine and public health","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.17352/2455-5479.000103","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
摘要
背景:Covid - 2019感染可以被认为是一种典型的“冰山现象”之后的疾病,在这种现象中,由于对SARS -CoV-2的免疫发育不可能永远持续,大量的淹没病例在体内,可能对人类构成威胁。世界各地的研究表明,在许多重要的研究问题中,无症状和症状前病毒传播问题是全球COVID - 20019大流行管理中最灰色的区域之一。目的:未被认识到的潜伏携带者和无症状感染者成为国际社会的再感染池,对整个世界都是非常危险的。因此,如果我们要防止未来再次发生COVID - 2019大流行,就需要紧急评估进一步管理无症状和症状前冠状病毒病例的战略。这就是为什么在这方面进行系统研究是至关重要的,正如本文作者所尝试的那样。材料和方法:根据PRISMA(2009)指南方案,从2020年1月1日至2020年4月25日,在谷歌、PubMed、EMBASE、MEDLINE、Global health、Biomed - Central、Web of Science、Cochrane图书馆、world Library - world - Cat的所有健康相关网站中,使用“无症状”、“症状前”、“COVID - 2019感染监测、大流行、复发”五个关键词搜索任何形式的各种研究,进行系统评价,然后进行荟萃分析。结果:在与该主题相关的文献中可获得的31项研究中,发现有20项符合问题综合的条件,从中出现了症状监测和无症状及症状前监测两个关键主题。世界各国以隔离检疫的形式进行了良好的症状监测;但真正的问题是无症状出院后监测,在世界上许多国家,包括印度等发展中国家,这只是处于初级阶段。结论:如果各国政府不制定应对策略,无症状出院后监测的缺失可能会在未来造成真正的破坏,导致2019冠状病毒病大流行可能再次发生。然而,作者建议未来进行更多的研究,在我们能够非常明确地说这肯定会发生之前。
COVID 2019 asymptomatic infections across the World- can it be a Time Bomb for Future Pandemic Recurrence? A Systematic Review of surveillance strategies
Background: Covid 2019 Infection can be considered a disease typically following Ice berg Phenomenon, where actual large no of submerged cases are inside and can become threat to human beings as immunity development to SARS –CoV-2 cannot be forever. Studies across the World have suggested that out of many important research questions- the problem of asymptomatic and presymptomatic virus shedding is one of the most gray area in management of COVID 20019 pandemic across the world.
Objective: Unrecognized threat of Incubatory carriers as well as asymptomatic cases becoming a re-infection pool to Global Community can be very dangerous for whole world. So a strategy for further Management of asymptomatic and presymptomatic CORONA +ve cases needs urgent appraisal, if we have to prevent future recurrence of COVID 2019 Pandemic. That why a systematic research is crucial in this regard, as attempted by authors in this article.
Material & methods: As per PRISMA(2009) guidelines protocol, search of various kinds of studies in any form ;using five key search words: ‘Asymptomatic’, “Presymptomatic” “COVID 2019 Infection Surveillance, Pandemic, Recurrence ” was done in all health related websites of Google, PubMed, EMBASE, MEDLINE, Global Health, , Biomed‑Central, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, world library ‑ World‑Cat, from 1 January, 2020 to 25th April 2020 for systematic‑review, followed by Meta-Analysis.
Results: Out of wide variety of 31 studies available in literature related to this topic,20 were found to be eligible for issues synthesis, from which 2 crucial themes of Surveillance of Symptomatics and Asymptomatic & Presymptomatics emerged. The Symptomatics surveillance was good in the form of Isolation and Quarantine across the World; but the real problem was of Asymptomatic post discharge surveillance, which was only in nascent stage in many countries across the world including developing countries such as India.
Conclusion: Lack of asymptomatic post discharge surveillance may cause a real havoc in future, if no strategy is chalked out by governments across the World, leading to possible recurrence of COVID 2019 Pandemic. However authors suggest more future research studies, before we can say it very definitively that it will certainly happen.