影响阿曼抗灾能力的因素：整合利益相关者分析和模糊认知映射

IF 1.9 Q3 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION

Risk, Hazards & Crisis in Public Policy Pub Date : 2020-10-06 DOI:10.1002/rhc3.12201

Suad Al‐Manji, J. Lovett, G. Mitchell

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引用次数: 7

摘要

社区抗灾能力规划是一个涉及相关组织和利益相关者内部和之间协调行动的过程，目的是降低灾害风险。这一进程的有效性受到一系列积极和消极因素的影响，需要确定和理解这些因素，以发展组织能力，建设社区的抗灾能力。本研究调查了阿曼的灾害规划和管理，阿曼面临着严重的自然灾害，拥有相对较新的机构灾害管理系统。模糊认知映射与利益相关者分析相结合，用于识别相关因素及其相互关系，从而提高对灾害治理的理解。更好地理解这种制度行为的复杂性，可以发现通过改进规划和应急响应来增强抗灾能力的机会。我们就改善阿曼的灾害管理提出了建议，涉及治理（包括改进计划传播和与社区机构更密切的合作）、风险评估、公共教育、建筑环境发展和抗灾融资。25.4%，危害20.6%，其中19%的因素是三者共同的。这也表明社区因素对

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Factors Affecting Disaster Resilience in Oman: Integrating Stakeholder Analysis and Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping

Planning for community resilience to disasters is a process that involves co ‐ ordinated action within and between relevant organizations and stakeholders, with the goal of reducing disaster risk. The effectiveness of this process is influenced by a range of factors, both positively and negatively, that need to be identified and understood so as to develop organizational capacity to build community resilience to disaster. This study investigates disaster planning and management in Oman, a country facing significant natural hazards, and with a relatively new system of institutional disaster management. Fuzzy cognitive mapping integrated with stakeholder analysis is used to identify relevant factors and their inter ‐ relationships, and hence provides an improved understanding of disaster governance. Developing an improved understanding of the complexity of this institutional behavior allows iden tification of opportunities to build greater resilience to disaster through improved planning and emergency response. We make recommendations for improved disaster management in Oman relating to governance (including improved plan dissemination and closer working with community organ -izations), risk assessment, public education, built environment development, and financing for disaster resilience. 25.4 percent, hazards 20.6 percent, with 19 percent of factors common to three It also shows that the community factors have a wide ‐ ranging on the

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来源期刊

Risk, Hazards & Crisis in Public Policy PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION-

CiteScore

7.50

自引率

8.60%

发文量

期刊介绍： Scholarship on risk, hazards, and crises (emergencies, disasters, or public policy/organizational crises) has developed into mature and distinct fields of inquiry. Risk, Hazards & Crisis in Public Policy (RHCPP) addresses the governance implications of the important questions raised for the respective fields. The relationships between risk, hazards, and crisis raise fundamental questions with broad social science and policy implications. During unstable situations of acute or chronic danger and substantial uncertainty (i.e. a crisis), important and deeply rooted societal institutions, norms, and values come into play. The purpose of RHCPP is to provide a forum for research and commentary that examines societies’ understanding of and measures to address risk,hazards, and crises, how public policies do and should address these concerns, and to what effect. The journal is explicitly designed to encourage a broad range of perspectives by integrating work from a variety of disciplines. The journal will look at social science theory and policy design across the spectrum of risks and crises — including natural and technological hazards, public health crises, terrorism, and societal and environmental disasters. Papers will analyze the ways societies deal with both unpredictable and predictable events as public policy questions, which include topics such as crisis governance, loss and liability, emergency response, agenda setting, and the social and cultural contexts in which hazards, risks and crises are perceived and defined. Risk, Hazards & Crisis in Public Policy invites dialogue and is open to new approaches. We seek scholarly work that combines academic quality with practical relevance. We especially welcome authors writing on the governance of risk and crises to submit their manuscripts.