检验印尼自然资源诅咒的存在:金融发展的作用

Sedwivia Ridena, Nurarifin Nurarifin, W. Hermawan, Ahmad Komarulzaman
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引用次数: 3

摘要

自然资源可能成为一种福祉,有助于社会福利的增加。然而,自然资源丰富也可能成为各国经济发展的诅咒。许多研究调查了自然资源与经济绩效之间的关系。然而,研究结果仍然模糊不清,在文献中也没有达成共识。具体而言,大多数文献只关注于测试诅咒的存在,而涉及金融发展在调解这种关系中的作用的研究仍然很少。据我们所知,这是在一个拥有自然资源的发展中国家进行的一项开创性研究。本研究利用2012-2018年33个省份的面板数据,采用广义矩量法(GMM)技术来检验自然资源诅咒的存在,并考察金融发展在缓解诅咒中的作用。结果表明,印度尼西亚可能会遭受自然资源的诅咒。尽管如此,可以通过加强金融发展的作用,使其达到超过经济产出的某一阈值,来减轻自然资源对经济增长的负面影响。这项研究建议政策制定者不仅要增加各省的金融发展,还要更加重视造成印尼自然资源灾难的其他因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Testing the Existence of Natural Resource Curse in Indonesia: The Role of Financial Development
Natural resources may become a blessing that can contribute to societies’ welfare increases. Yet natural resource abundance could also become a curse for countries’ economic development. Numerous studies have investigated the relationship between natural resources and economic performance. However, the results remain ambiguous and have no consensus in the literature. In specific, most literature focused only on testing the curse’s existence, while studies that involve the role of financial development in mediating the nexus remain scarce. To the best of our knowledge, this is a pioneer study in a developing country endowed by natural resources. Using panel data of 33 provinces from 2012 to 2018, this study implements the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) technique to examine the existence of the natural resource curse and scrutinize the role of financial development in mitigating the curse. Results show that Indonesia potentially experiences a natural resource curse. Nonetheless, the negative effect of natural resources on economic growth could be mitigated by enhancing the role of financial development to reach a certain threshold over economic output. This study recommends policymakers to not only increase financial development across the provinces but also pay more serious attention to other factors causing the natural resource curse in Indonesia.
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