尼泊尔通过过境外交寻求繁荣

K C Khadga, G. Bhattarai
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引用次数: 8

摘要

本文追溯了为什么尼泊尔通过过境外交寻求繁荣似乎是一项未完成的冒险的原因。它确定了尼泊尔过境外交的不同指标,规定了尼泊尔在多大程度上可以执行过境外交,在多大程度上不能执行过境外交。本文还认为,尼泊尔向其近邻——南至印度、北至中国——提出的三边主义建议,迄今尚未通过三边对话或部长级会议的任何方式制度化。这只是一个隐喻的地位,仅仅是推断尼泊尔有可能在邻国的两个新兴经济体之间架起桥梁,然而,这两个经济体被认为是东方化进程本身的主要角色。假设过境外交的冒险还没有获得足够的动力,这篇文章不仅评估了印度不愿为三边主义提供动力,而且强调了尼泊尔缺乏准备和自信,这实际上使她在尼泊尔更大的利益中实现了看似合理的角色。因此,三边主义的概念应具有制度上的现实性。如果没有这样的制度化,尼泊尔通过过境外交寻求繁荣可能不会产生预期的结果,并将永远停留在一个未完成的冒险的状态。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Nepal’s Search for Prosperity through Transit Diplomacy
This article traces out the causes for why Nepal’s search for prosperity through transit diplomacy appears to be an un accomplished venture. Identifying different indicators of Nepal’s transit diplomacy, it specifies to what extent Nepal can execute its transit diplomacy and to what extent it cannot. This article also argues that Nepal’s proposal of trilateral ism to its immediate neighbours, India to the South and China to the North, itself, so far has not been institutionalized through any means of trilateral dialogues or ministerial-level meetings. It has only been reduced to the status of a metaphor merely inferring Nepal’s possibilities to bridge two emerging economies in the neighbourhood, which are, however, deemed as the prime actors of Easternization process itself. Hypothesizing that the venture of transit diplomacy has not gained sufficient momentum, this article does not only assess the reluctance of India in providing momentum to trilaterialism, but underlines Nepal’s lack of preparation and assertiveness which have actually sidelined her plausible role to make it happen at Nepal’s larger interest. The idea of trilateralism should, therefore, bear an institutional reality. Without such an institutionalization, Nepal’s quest for prosperity through transit diplomacy might not yield expected results, and shall always dwell on the status of an un accomplished venture.
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