日常棒球幻想中的行为偏见：以热手为例

IF 16.4 1区化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2022-09-21 DOI:10.1177/15270025221128955

Jeremy Losak, A. Weinbach, R. Paul

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引用次数: 0

摘要

尽管证据参差不齐，但体育参与者和体育迷仍然坚信热手的存在。先前研究NBA和NFL博彩市场的文献发现，更好的人倾向于热门球队。利用独特的市场和数据集，本研究确定热手是否在日常幻想棒球比赛中普遍存在，是否存在有利可图的热手选择策略，以及消费者是否相信它的存在。结果表明，虽然没有证据表明热手效应，也没有证据表明热手策略有利可图，但消费者相信并将其纳入他们的阵容决策中。

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Behavioral Biases in Daily Fantasy Baseball: The Case of the Hot Hand

Despite mixed evidence, sport participants and fans heavily believe in the existence of the hot hand. Prior literature examining NBA and NFL betting markets found betters were biased towards hot teams. Using a unique market and data set, this study identifies if the hot hand is prevalent in daily fantasy baseball contests, if there is a profitable hot hand selection strategy, and if consumers believe in its existence. Results show that while there is no evidence of a hot hand effect, and no evidence of a profitable hot hand strategy, consumers believe in and incorporate it in their lineup decisions.

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来源期刊

Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合

CiteScore

31.40

自引率

1.10%

发文量

312

审稿时长

2 months

期刊介绍： Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.