世界证券交易所之间的联系。

Muhammad Madyan, H. Adila, Novian Abdi Firdausi
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本研究分析了全球股票市场之间的相关性。发展中国家的证券交易所以中国和印度尼西亚为代表,而发达国家的证券交易所以德国、日本、澳大利亚、新加坡和美国为代表。以股票日收盘价为数据,运用向量误差修正模型和格兰杰因果关系进行评估。分析的指数是上海证券交易所综合指数(SHCOMP)、哈尔加指数(IHSG)、道琼斯工业平均指数(DJIA)、日经225指数(NKY)、德意志指数(DAX)、所有普通股指数(AOI)和海峡时报指数(STI)。股票数据分为两个时期,第一个时期是1998年1月1日至2003年12月31日的亚洲金融危机,第二个时期是2008年1月1日至2013年12月31日的次贷危机。研究结果表明,所分析的股票指数在第一期和第二期的长期和短期关系中都存在相关性,而新加坡和印度尼西亚的股票交易所在第二期的相关性尚未得到证实。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Keterkaitan Antar Bursa Efek Dunia (Studi Kasus pada Bursa Efek Negara Maju dan Negara Berkembang)
This research analyzes the correlation between stock markets worldwide. Developing countries stock exchanges are represented by China and Indonesia, whereas developed countries stock exchanges are represented by Germany, Japan, Australia, Singapore, and the United States. Using stock’s daily close prices as data, then assessed with Vector Error Correction Model and Granger Causality. Analyzed indexes are Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite (SHCOMP), Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG), Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Nikkei225 (NKY), Deutscher Aktien Index (DAX), All Ordinaries Index (AOI), and Strait Times Index (STI). Stock data grouped into two periods, the first period is the Asian Financial Crisis in 1 January 1998-31 December 2003, while second period is the Subprime Mortgage crisis in 1 January 2008-31 December 2013. Research results show correlations between analyzed stock indexes in both long run and short run relationship in the firstperiod as well asthe second period, however the correlation between Singapore’s and Indonesia’s stock exchange in second period is unproven.
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