Integrated Mechanical Earth Modeling for Predicting Sand Production: A Case Study

Sand production is a serious problem in oil and gas wells, and one of the main concerns of production engineers. This problem can damage downhole equipment and surface production facilities. This study presents a sand production case and quantifies sanding risks for an oil field in Iraq. The study applies an integrated workflow of constructing 1D Mechanical Earth Modeling (MEM) and predicting the sand production with multiple criteria such as shear failure during drilling, B index, and critical bottomhole pressure (CBHP) or critical drawdown pressure (CDDP). Wireline log data were used to estimate the mechanical properties of the formations in the field. The predicted sand production propensity was validated based on the sand production history in the field. The interpretation results of some wells anticipated in this study showed that when a shear failure occurs during drilling, the B index is around 2 × 104 MPa or less and the CBHP is equal to the formation pore pressure. For this case, sand control shall be carried out in the initial stage of production. On the other hand, when the shear failure does not exist, the B index is always greater than 2 × 104 MPa, and the CBHP is mostly less than the formation pore pressure. In this case, implementing sand control methods could be postponed as the reservoir pressure undergoes depletion. However, for the anticipated field, sand control is recommended to be carried out in the initial stage of well production even when the CBHP is less than the formation pore pressure since sanding will be inevitable when the reservoir pressure depletes to values close to the initial reservoir pressure. The tentative evaluation of the stress regime showed that a normal fault could be the stress regime for the formations. For a normal fault stress regime, the study explained that when the reservoir permeability is isotropic, an openhole vertical wellbore has less propensity for sand production than a horizontal wellbore. Moreover, when the wellbore azimuth is in the direction of the minimum horizontal stress, the CBHP will be lower than in any other azimuth, and sanding will take place at higher wellbore inclination angles. For the anticipated field, because of the casedhole well completion and the anisotropic reservoir permeability, a horizontal well drilled in the direction of minimum horizontal stress with oriented perforation in the direction of maximum horizontal stress is an alternative method for controlling sand production.