印度股市与全球股市的波动溢出效应:DCC-GARCH模型

IF 2.5 Q3 BUSINESS
Nikhil Yadav, Anurag Bhadur Singh, P. Tandon
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文运用动态条件相关广义自回归条件异方差(DCC-GARCH)模型,从世界经济综合指数(欧洲斯托克50)中实证估计了以Sensex为代表的印度股票市场的波动溢出传导。该研究使用了2012年4月1日至2022年3月期间的每周二手数据。运用DCC-GARCH模型考察了发达国家股市对印度股市(Sensex)的溢出效应。研究结果表明,短期内全球市场对印度股市存在溢出效应。投资者可以长期投资印度股市,因为没有欧元和纳斯达克的波动溢出或波动传导,但短期内,由于所有发达股市的波动效应存在,印度股市的投资并不安全。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Volatility Spillover Effects between Indian Stock Market and Global Stock Markets: A DCC-GARCH Model
The present article empirically estimates the volatility spillover transmission in Indian equity market represented by Sensex from world economies composite index (Euro Stoxx 50) using the dynamic conditional correlation generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (DCC-GARCH) model. The study uses secondary data spanning between 1 April 2012 and March 2022 on weekly basis. The DCC-GARCH model is applied to examine the spillover from developed stock markets to Indian stock market (Sensex). The findings of the study revealed that in short run there is a spillover effect from global markets to Indian stock markets. Investors can invest in the Indian stock market for the long period of time as there is no volatility spillover or volatility transmission from Euro and Nasdaq however in short run the investment in the Indian stock market is not safe due to the presence of volatility effect from all developed stock markets.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.40
自引率
11.50%
发文量
68
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