引言:25年后的加拿大与世界——有人在听吗?

IF 0.3 Q3 AREA STUDIES
Elizabeth Cobbett, R. Silvius
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引用次数: 0

摘要

如果说大胆的预测是预言家和权威人士的首选方法,那么我们的撰稿人在提供一幅25年后世界将如何看待加拿大和加拿大人的直观图景时,无疑更为谨慎。尽管如此,我们在这里提出的分析性和想象力的工作是基于这样一种理解,即加拿大目前和中期未来面临的全球环境与它在“漫长的二十世纪”中所习惯的环境大不相同。“所有撰稿人都非常清楚地认识到,随着世界经历重要的政治和经济转变,并不是全球所有地区都会像加拿大那样‘倾听’或关注加拿大。这就提出了一个问题,即世界各国是否需要在25年后听取加拿大的意见,本期特刊的撰稿人通过各种争论来讨论这个问题。虽然我们的预测是试探性的,虽然我们的个人分析侧重于加拿大所处的不断变化的世界秩序的不同组成部分,但人们普遍认为,加拿大的外交政策需要迅速适应一套截然不同的全球环境。在挖掘现状以便更好地确定导致对加拿大国际特性和行为的普遍表述的各种因素时,我们的努力使我们能够像展望未来一样重新想象过去。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Introduction: Canada and the World in 25 Years—Will Anyone Be Listening?
If bold predictions are the preferred method for prognosticators and pundits, our contributors are decidedly more circumspect in offering a straightforward picture of how the world will receive Canada and Canadians in 25 years’ time. Nonetheless, the analytical and imaginative undertaking that we offer here is governed by the understanding that the global environment Canada faces at present and in the medium future is very different than that to which it was accustomed during the ‘‘long twentieth century.’’ It comes across very clearly from all contributors that not all regions of the globe will be ‘‘listening’’ or paying attention to Canada to the same degree as the world undergoes important political and economic shifts. This raises the question of whether countries around the world will need to listen to Canada in 25 years, the matter to which contributors to this special issue broach through a variety of arguments. While our predictions are tentative, and although our individual analyses focus on different components of the shifting world order of which Canada is a part, there is broad consensus that Canada’s foreign policy needs to speedily adjust to a profoundly different set of global circumstances. In excavating the present to better determine the various factors that have led to prevailing articulations of Canada’s international identity and conduct, our endeavour enables us to reimagine the past as much as envision the future.
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