采用前瞻性成果,开发新型冠状病毒大流行精明模型

Ashraf Shahzad, Rasheed Zeeshan, Arbaz Muhammad
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引用次数: 2

摘要

在过去两年里,不可避免的疫情似乎没有得到控制。在这种恶化的情况下,采取不可避免的措施来应对这种挑衅的疾病似乎至关重要,只有了解实际的流行病传播率,这才有可能。因此,正在开发一个精明的流行病模型,该模型将每小时、每周和每月生成实时感染统计数据。这个精明的模型利用了众所周知的数据集,以及何时应用该数据集来确定三种感染类型的状态——感染人数、大流行开始的时间和大流行消失的时间。基于时间的结果是通过在python-Simpy框架中进行模拟生成的,生成的结果是实时感染传播率的标志,它表明当感染率的特殊措施是必不可少的,并且当它变得合理时。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Adopting proactive results by developing the Shrewd model of pandemic COVID-19
The unavoidable pandemic situation seems uncontrolled over the past two years. In this aggravated situation, it seems crucial to take inescapable measures to deal with such a defiant disease and it is only possible if the actual pandemic propagation ratio is to be acquainted. Therefore, a shrewd pandemic model is being developed that will generate real-time infection statistics on an hourly, weekly, and monthly basis. This shrewd model utilizes the well-known dataset and when this dataset will be applied to determine the status of three types of infection the number of infected people, the time when the pandemic begins, and the time when the pandemic disappears. The time-based results are generated by conducting simulation in python Simpy framework and the generated results are the hallmark of real-time infection spreading ratio it shows that when the extraordinary measures for infection ratio are indispensable and when it becomes plausible.
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