满足消费者对农产品的需求:可能性及其预测

Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance
V. Amrahov, Farrukh Rahimli, Narmin Mirzazadeh, Gunay Ibrahimova, Hajar Valizadeh
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在现代世界,消费者对农产品的偏好和需求正在不断变化。高效满足这些需求对农业部门的可持续性和盈利能力至关重要。这就是为什么研究农产品需求并找到预测方法仍然很重要。该研究旨在调查影响农产品需求的主要因素。本研究中使用的主要方法是分析、抽象、预测和建模。本文根据消费者需求的满足是世界上当前的问题之一这一事实,根据市场规模、商品和服务的数量,考察了需求满足水平、现状和机会。强调了农业发展与满足粮食需求和解决饥饿问题之间的关系。分析了影响农业消费需求的因素——消费成本、消费者数量、农业生产总值、消费者价格指数和消费者收入。在计量经济学分析的基础上,确定了消费者需求优化与相关指标之间的相关性。利用多因素线性相关和多因素线性回归模型,分别描述了实际水平和回归模型的消费成本,以及对未来几年的预测。这项研究为评估农产品需求水平提供了新的知识
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Satisfying the consumer demand for agricultural products: Possibilities and its prediction
In the modern world, consumer preferences and demand for agricultural products are constantly changing. Meeting these demands efficiently and effectively is crucial for the sustainability and profitability of the agricultural sector. That is why it remains important to study the demand for agricultural products and find methods to predict it. The research aims to investigate the main factors that influence the demand for agricultural products. The main methods used in this study were analysis, abstraction, forecasting and modelling. The article examines the level of demand satisfaction, the current situation and opportunities depending on the scale of the market, the volume of goods and services, based on the fact that the satisfaction of consumer demand is one of the current problems in the world. The relationship between the development of agriculture and meeting the demand for food products and solving the problem of starvation was emphasized. Factors affecting consumer demand in agriculture – consumption costs, number of consumers, gross agricultural product, consumer price index, consumer incomes were analysed. On the basis of econometric analysis, the dependence between the optimization of consumer demand and the indicators related to it was determined. Using multi-factor linear correlation and multi-factor linear regression models, were described the level of actual and regression model consumption costs, as well as the forecast for the next years. The study contributes new knowledge to assess the level of demand for agricultural products
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来源期刊
Naukovi gorizonti
Naukovi gorizonti Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
115
审稿时长
4 weeks
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