对贝尼希M-Score模型的准确性评估为欺诈财务报表检测工具(印尼金融服务机构案件)

S. Santosa, Joseph Ginting
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引用次数: 6

摘要

本研究的目的是更详细地了解迄今为止使用的欺诈检测模型,即Beneish M-Score,是否能够成为查看商业世界中发生的财务报告欺诈的工具之一。考虑到印度尼西亚金融服务管理局(OJK)的许多公司因延迟向资本市场管理局提交财务报告而受到警告甚至罚款,这是一个有趣的研究。为了像第一段的目标那样进行分析过程,研究小组在印度尼西亚证券交易所取样了23家公司,这些公司都在OJK名单中。受OJK制裁的23家公司和未受制裁的23家公司。在OJK制裁的公司样本中,根据Beneish M-Score计算,非操纵企业的数量为62%,而被列入操纵企业分类的公司只有38%。而在不受OJK制裁的公司样本中,根据M-Score计算,被列入非操纵国类别的公司数量实际上较少,为52%。这是进一步研究的主要基础。在本研究中,分析过程采用probit回归模型(probit models)对财务报表数据进行定量解释分析,财务报表数据分为两种,一种是OJK原始数据的财务比率(审计),另一种是数据修改后的财务比率(高级业务分析)。结果表明,由于影响欺诈存在的变量只有资产质量指数(AQI)和总应计资产对总资产的比率(TATA)两个,因此无法有效地运用贝尼什M-Score模型来检测OJK控制下的公司的欺诈行为。因此,将Beneish M-Score模型与其他更能解释问题的模型结合起来是合适且重要的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Evaluasi Keakuratan Model Beneish M-Score Sebagai Alat Deteksi Kecurangan Laporan Keuangan (Kasus Perusahaan Pada Otoritas Jasa Keuangan di Indonesia)
This research has been conducted aiming to see in more detail whether the fraud detection model that has been used so far, the Beneish M-Score, is capable of being one of the tools to see financial report fraud occurring in the business world. This is interesting to study considering that many companies in the Financial Services Authority (OJK) in Indonesia receive warnings and even fines for the delay in submitting financial reports to Capital Market Authority.To carry out the analysis process as in the objectives in the first paragraph, the research team took a sample of 23 companies on the Indonesia Stock Exchange, where the companies were in the list of OJK. The 23 companies that were sanctioned by the OJK compared to 23 not sanctioned companies. In sample of companies that were sanctioned by the OJK, the number of non-manipulator companies according to the Beneish M-Score calculation was 62% and for companies included in the manipulator classification only 38%. Whereas in the sample of companies not subject to sanctions from the OJK, the number of companies included in the non-manipulator category is actually smaller, 52%, calculated using M-Score. This is the main basis for further research.In this study, the analysis process is carried out by quantitative explanatory analysis using probit regression models (probit models), on financial statement data which are categorized into two, the financial ratio with original data from OJK (audited) and the financial ratio with data modification (advanced business analysis). The results show that Beneish M-Score Model could not be implemented effectively to detect the fraud in the companies under control by OJK because only 2 (two) variables influence the existence of fraudulent, are Asset Quality Index (AQI) and Total Accrual To Total Assets (TATA). Thus, it is appropriate and important for the Beneish M-Score modeling to be equipped with other models that are more able to explain.
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