使用目前的主动安全技术,哪些非过失事故是不可避免的?

IF 3.2 Q3 TRANSPORTATION
Roni Utriainen , Tapio Koisaari , Timo Kari , Heidi Heikkilä
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引用次数: 0

摘要

之前的研究主要集中在分析主动安全技术在故障乘用车中减少碰撞的潜力,但只有少数研究调查了对手方通过使用高级驾驶辅助系统(ADAS)避免碰撞的可能性。该研究量化了当前ADAS (SAE 2级)无法避免的致命无过错乘用车碰撞的发生率。我们使用了深入调查的致命车祸数据,其中一辆乘用车在2010年1月1日至2017年12月31日期间在芬兰首次注册。不可避免碰撞的评估包括两轮评估。初步评估确定了可能在研究案例中运行的潜在主动安全系统。在接下来的一轮中,我们进行了五个级别的个案分析,包括车头时距分析,以评估避免碰撞的可能性。事故数据包括63起致命事故,其中5起因突发疾病而被排除在外。其余58起事故被分类如下:可能不可避免(n = 51)、可避免(n = 3)和不清楚(n = 4)。不可避免的无过错方事故的事故发生率为每十亿公里0.67-0.73起致命事故,每百万登记年14-15起致命事故。结果表明,目前的主动安全系统可能只能在少数情况下防止无过错方的致命碰撞,并且尽管部署了主动安全系统,驾驶员在道路安全中的作用仍然很重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Which not-at-fault crashes are unavoidable by using current active safety technology?

Previous research has focused on analysing crash reduction potential of active safety technology in at-fault passenger cars, but only a few studies have examined counterparties' possibilities to avoid collisions by using advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS). This study quantified the incidence of fatal not-at-fault passenger car crashes that current ADAS (up to SAE level 2) would be unable to avoid. We used data taken from in-depth investigated fatal crashes in which a passenger car was involved, that car having been first registered during the period 1 January 2010 to 31 December 2017 in Finland. The evaluation of unavoidable crashes consisted of two evaluation rounds. The preliminary evaluation round identified potential active safety systems that could have operated in the studied cases. In the following round, we made a five-level case-by-case analysis including a time headway analysis in order to evaluate the possibilities for crash avoidance. The crash data included 63 fatal crashes, of which five were excluded because the death was due to a sudden illness attack. The remaining 58 crashes were classified as follows: probably unavoidable (n = 51), avoidable (n = 3), and unclear (n = 4). The crash incidence of the unavoidable not-at-fault party crashes was 0.67–0.73 fatal crashes per billion kilometers and 14–15 fatal crashes per million registration years. The results indicate that current active safety systems may be able to prevent not-at-fault party fatal crashes only in a few cases and that the driver's role in road safety remains important despite the deployment of the active safety systems.

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来源期刊
IATSS Research
IATSS Research TRANSPORTATION-
CiteScore
6.40
自引率
6.20%
发文量
44
审稿时长
42 weeks
期刊介绍: First published in 1977 as an international journal sponsored by the International Association of Traffic and Safety Sciences, IATSS Research has contributed to the dissemination of interdisciplinary wisdom on ideal mobility, particularly in Asia. IATSS Research is an international refereed journal providing a platform for the exchange of scientific findings on transportation and safety across a wide range of academic fields, with particular emphasis on the links between scientific findings and practice in society and cultural contexts. IATSS Research welcomes submission of original research articles and reviews that satisfy the following conditions: 1.Relevant to transportation and safety, and the multiple impacts of transportation systems on security, human health, and the environment. 2.Contains important policy and practical implications based on scientific evidence in the applicable academic field. In addition to welcoming general submissions, IATSS Research occasionally plans and publishes special feature sections and special issues composed of invited articles addressing specific topics.
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