大流行背景下与数学模型相关的社会因素

Domingo Yojcom Rocché, J. Castillo
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引用次数: 1

摘要

2019冠状病毒病大流行引发的危机再次证实了数学知识对估计自然现象的重要性,实际上,人们使用了各种模型来更广泛地了解正在发生的事情。数学模型在不同的情况下使用,特别是:经济、农业、气候、金融、技术、医疗、教育等。这篇反思性的文章从危地马拉的情况中选取了一些因素,以大致反映该国目前的健康状况。全文共分三部分:第一部分对数学模型在流行病或大流行中减少传染病爆发的应用进行了历史介绍,以帮助人群,最大限度地减少病毒的传播。第二部分解释了SIR确定性模型的构建,并对其解释进行了一些调整,这是世界各国最常用的解释,以及这些知识在文化多样性背景下的应用。同时,第三部分强调了该模式在多元文化社会中实施和运行的相关因素的重要性。本文讨论的因素包括:将数学数据联系起来的能力、结果与单一知识的关系、作为地方发展引擎的文化、研究现象的性质、作为生活基本原则之一的进化、教育和应对紧急情况的能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Los factores sociales asociados a los modelos matemáticos en un contexto de pandemia
The crisis caused by the pandemic COVID-19 confirms again the importance of mathematical knowledge to estimate natural phenomenon, actually various models been used to have a broader picture of what is happening. Mathematical models are used in different contexts especially: economic, agricultural, climatic, financial, technological, medical, educational, among others. This reflective article takes elements from the Guatemalan situation to present an approximation of the health that the country is currently experiencing. The text has of three parts: the first makes a historical introduction to the application of mathematical models to reduce the outbreak of contagion in epidemics or pandemics, in order to help the population, minimize the spread of the virus. The second part explains the construction of the SIR deterministic model with some adaptations for its interpretation, the most used in various countries of the world and the application of this knowledge in contexts of cultural diversity. Meanwhile, the third part emphasizes the importance of the factors associated with the model for its implementation and operation in a multicultural society. Among the factors addressed in the paper are: the ability to relate mathematical data, the relationship of results to unitary knowledge, culture as an engine of local development, the nature of the phenomenon of study, evolution as one of the basic principles of life, education and the ability to react to respond to emergencies.
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