{"title":"基于修正基础贝塔的期权风险捕获与套期保值验证模型","authors":"Chuan-he Shen, Yang Liu","doi":"10.21314/JRMV.2020.233","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The mining and hedging of option volatility information are the core issues of stock option markets. This paper analyzes the relationship between option risk and expected return from the perspective of the underlying beta, and estimates the degree of correlation. As the assumptions of the capital asset pricing model and Black–Scholes model are not consistent with the actual situation in the financial market, we use applied statistical models to introduce kurtosis and skewness, and to introduce curvature and high-order-moment error terms to optimize the underlying beta model. We then develop a verification model for mining option risk and hedging by employing the modified underlying beta. We verify the hedging performance of the above model by choosing different market samples, such as the China, Hong Kong and US financial markets. The results show that the hedging performance of the optimized underlying beta model in the US market is most satisfactory, followed by the Hong Kong market and then the Chinese mainland market. Meanwhile, the hedging effect of the underlying beta model improved by curvature and high-order-moment error terms is superior to that of the model of the underlying beta adjusted by the kurtosis and skewness.","PeriodicalId":43447,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Risk Model Validation","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4000,"publicationDate":"2019-09-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A Verification Model to Capture Option Risk and Hedging Based on a Modified Underlying Beta\",\"authors\":\"Chuan-he Shen, Yang Liu\",\"doi\":\"10.21314/JRMV.2020.233\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The mining and hedging of option volatility information are the core issues of stock option markets. This paper analyzes the relationship between option risk and expected return from the perspective of the underlying beta, and estimates the degree of correlation. As the assumptions of the capital asset pricing model and Black–Scholes model are not consistent with the actual situation in the financial market, we use applied statistical models to introduce kurtosis and skewness, and to introduce curvature and high-order-moment error terms to optimize the underlying beta model. We then develop a verification model for mining option risk and hedging by employing the modified underlying beta. We verify the hedging performance of the above model by choosing different market samples, such as the China, Hong Kong and US financial markets. The results show that the hedging performance of the optimized underlying beta model in the US market is most satisfactory, followed by the Hong Kong market and then the Chinese mainland market. Meanwhile, the hedging effect of the underlying beta model improved by curvature and high-order-moment error terms is superior to that of the model of the underlying beta adjusted by the kurtosis and skewness.\",\"PeriodicalId\":43447,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Risk Model Validation\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2019-09-18\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Risk Model Validation\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.21314/JRMV.2020.233\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Risk Model Validation","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.21314/JRMV.2020.233","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
A Verification Model to Capture Option Risk and Hedging Based on a Modified Underlying Beta
The mining and hedging of option volatility information are the core issues of stock option markets. This paper analyzes the relationship between option risk and expected return from the perspective of the underlying beta, and estimates the degree of correlation. As the assumptions of the capital asset pricing model and Black–Scholes model are not consistent with the actual situation in the financial market, we use applied statistical models to introduce kurtosis and skewness, and to introduce curvature and high-order-moment error terms to optimize the underlying beta model. We then develop a verification model for mining option risk and hedging by employing the modified underlying beta. We verify the hedging performance of the above model by choosing different market samples, such as the China, Hong Kong and US financial markets. The results show that the hedging performance of the optimized underlying beta model in the US market is most satisfactory, followed by the Hong Kong market and then the Chinese mainland market. Meanwhile, the hedging effect of the underlying beta model improved by curvature and high-order-moment error terms is superior to that of the model of the underlying beta adjusted by the kurtosis and skewness.
期刊介绍:
As monetary institutions rely greatly on economic and financial models for a wide array of applications, model validation has become progressively inventive within the field of risk. The Journal of Risk Model Validation focuses on the implementation and validation of risk models, and aims to provide a greater understanding of key issues including the empirical evaluation of existing models, pitfalls in model validation and the development of new methods. We also publish papers on back-testing. Our main field of application is in credit risk modelling but we are happy to consider any issues of risk model validation for any financial asset class. The Journal of Risk Model Validation considers submissions in the form of research papers on topics including, but not limited to: Empirical model evaluation studies Backtesting studies Stress-testing studies New methods of model validation/backtesting/stress-testing Best practices in model development, deployment, production and maintenance Pitfalls in model validation techniques (all types of risk, forecasting, pricing and rating)