基于修正基础贝塔的期权风险捕获与套期保值验证模型

IF 0.4 4区 经济学 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Chuan-he Shen, Yang Liu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

期权波动信息的挖掘和套期保值是股票期权市场的核心问题。本文从标的贝塔系数的角度分析了期权风险与预期收益之间的关系,并估计了相关程度。由于资本资产定价模型和Black-Scholes模型的假设与金融市场的实际情况不一致,我们使用应用统计模型来引入峰度和偏度,并引入曲率和高阶矩误差项来优化基础贝塔模型。然后,我们通过使用修改的基础贝塔,开发了一个挖掘期权风险和套期保值的验证模型。我们通过选择不同的市场样本,如中国、香港和美国金融市场,验证了上述模型的套期保值性能。结果表明,优化的标的贝塔模型在美国市场的套期保值表现最为令人满意,其次是香港市场,然后是中国大陆市场。同时,通过曲率和高阶矩误差项改进的基础贝塔模型的套期保值效果优于通过峰度和偏度调整的基础贝塔的模型。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Verification Model to Capture Option Risk and Hedging Based on a Modified Underlying Beta
The mining and hedging of option volatility information are the core issues of stock option markets. This paper analyzes the relationship between option risk and expected return from the perspective of the underlying beta, and estimates the degree of correlation. As the assumptions of the capital asset pricing model and Black–Scholes model are not consistent with the actual situation in the financial market, we use applied statistical models to introduce kurtosis and skewness, and to introduce curvature and high-order-moment error terms to optimize the underlying beta model. We then develop a verification model for mining option risk and hedging by employing the modified underlying beta. We verify the hedging performance of the above model by choosing different market samples, such as the China, Hong Kong and US financial markets. The results show that the hedging performance of the optimized underlying beta model in the US market is most satisfactory, followed by the Hong Kong market and then the Chinese mainland market. Meanwhile, the hedging effect of the underlying beta model improved by curvature and high-order-moment error terms is superior to that of the model of the underlying beta adjusted by the kurtosis and skewness.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.20
自引率
28.60%
发文量
8
期刊介绍: As monetary institutions rely greatly on economic and financial models for a wide array of applications, model validation has become progressively inventive within the field of risk. The Journal of Risk Model Validation focuses on the implementation and validation of risk models, and aims to provide a greater understanding of key issues including the empirical evaluation of existing models, pitfalls in model validation and the development of new methods. We also publish papers on back-testing. Our main field of application is in credit risk modelling but we are happy to consider any issues of risk model validation for any financial asset class. The Journal of Risk Model Validation considers submissions in the form of research papers on topics including, but not limited to: Empirical model evaluation studies Backtesting studies Stress-testing studies New methods of model validation/backtesting/stress-testing Best practices in model development, deployment, production and maintenance Pitfalls in model validation techniques (all types of risk, forecasting, pricing and rating)
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