用反向传播法预测2022年突厥县公开失业率

Evi Septya Putri, Abdulloh Hamid, D. C. R. Novitasari
{"title":"用反向传播法预测2022年突厥县公开失业率","authors":"Evi Septya Putri, Abdulloh Hamid, D. C. R. Novitasari","doi":"10.25217/numerical.v6i1.2150","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The Open Unemployment Rate is the number of unemployed from the total labor force in an area or region in the form of a percentage. In Tuban Regency, unemployment has experienced a very significant increase from 2019 to 2020. Therefore, it is necessary to make predictions in 2021 and 2022 to find out the description of the Open Unemployment Rate in that year so that actions can be taken by the government to deal with this. By using the Backpropagation method, this study obtained predictions that in 2021 it will be 4.58% of the total workforce in Tuban Regency in 2021 and in 2022 the open unemployment rate will be 4.7% of the total workforce in Tuban Regency in 2022, with network architecture 2-70-1-1, the learning rate used is 0.1 and the MAPE value is 8.363%. The test was stopped at the 276th epoch. At the time of testing between the output and the target there was a correlation (R) of 0.993 where the best result was 1.","PeriodicalId":31996,"journal":{"name":"Numerical Jurnal Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2022-05-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Prediction of the Tuban Regency Open Unemployment Rate in 2022 with the Backpropagation Method\",\"authors\":\"Evi Septya Putri, Abdulloh Hamid, D. C. R. Novitasari\",\"doi\":\"10.25217/numerical.v6i1.2150\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The Open Unemployment Rate is the number of unemployed from the total labor force in an area or region in the form of a percentage. In Tuban Regency, unemployment has experienced a very significant increase from 2019 to 2020. Therefore, it is necessary to make predictions in 2021 and 2022 to find out the description of the Open Unemployment Rate in that year so that actions can be taken by the government to deal with this. By using the Backpropagation method, this study obtained predictions that in 2021 it will be 4.58% of the total workforce in Tuban Regency in 2021 and in 2022 the open unemployment rate will be 4.7% of the total workforce in Tuban Regency in 2022, with network architecture 2-70-1-1, the learning rate used is 0.1 and the MAPE value is 8.363%. The test was stopped at the 276th epoch. At the time of testing between the output and the target there was a correlation (R) of 0.993 where the best result was 1.\",\"PeriodicalId\":31996,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Numerical Jurnal Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-05-28\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Numerical Jurnal Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.25217/numerical.v6i1.2150\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Numerical Jurnal Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.25217/numerical.v6i1.2150","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

公开失业率是指一个地区或地区的失业人数占总劳动力的百分比。在图班摄政,从2019年到2020年,失业率出现了非常显著的增长。因此,有必要对2021年和2022年进行预测,找出当年公开失业率的描述,以便政府采取措施应对。通过反向传播方法,本研究预测到2021年开放失业率将占图班县2021年总劳动力的4.58%,2022年开放失业率将占图班县2022年总劳动力的4.7%,网络架构为2-70-1-1,使用的学习率为0.1,MAPE值为8.363%。试验在第276历时停止了。在测试时,输出和目标之间的相关性(R)为0.993,其中最佳结果为1。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Prediction of the Tuban Regency Open Unemployment Rate in 2022 with the Backpropagation Method
The Open Unemployment Rate is the number of unemployed from the total labor force in an area or region in the form of a percentage. In Tuban Regency, unemployment has experienced a very significant increase from 2019 to 2020. Therefore, it is necessary to make predictions in 2021 and 2022 to find out the description of the Open Unemployment Rate in that year so that actions can be taken by the government to deal with this. By using the Backpropagation method, this study obtained predictions that in 2021 it will be 4.58% of the total workforce in Tuban Regency in 2021 and in 2022 the open unemployment rate will be 4.7% of the total workforce in Tuban Regency in 2022, with network architecture 2-70-1-1, the learning rate used is 0.1 and the MAPE value is 8.363%. The test was stopped at the 276th epoch. At the time of testing between the output and the target there was a correlation (R) of 0.993 where the best result was 1.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
20 weeks
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术官方微信