儿童生存与避孕选择:理论与证据

IF 16.4 1区化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI:10.1016/j.jmacro.2023.103545

Joydeep Bhattacharya , Shankha Chakraborty , Minkyong Kim

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的问题是，儿童存活率的提高是否会降低生育率，并激励夫妇从传统避孕方法转向现代避孕方法。我们的简约模型预测，每种情况下的答案都是肯定的。我们使用来自最近生育率转变的家庭人口和健康调查来测试这些联系，使用区域一级儿童存活率的外生变化。我们发现，环境儿童存活率每增加1%，生育率就会下降1.2%。同样，转向(并坚持)现代计划生育的几率也增加了0.4%。我们的发现支持了这样一种观点，即普遍的儿童存活率会影响促进现代避孕措施使用的计划生育方案的有效性。

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Child survival and contraception choice: Theory and evidence

This paper asks whether increases in child survival bring down fertility and incentivize couples to switch from traditional to modern methods of contraception. Our parsimonious model predicts the answer in each case is, yes. We test these connections using household-level Demographic and Health Surveys from recent fertility transitions using arguably exogenous variation in child survival at the regional level. We find a 1% increase in ambient child survival leads to a fertility drop of 1.2%. The same raises the chance of switching to modern birth control (and sticking to it) by 0.4%. Our finding supports the notion that prevailing rates of child survival influence the effectiveness of family planning programs that promote modern contraceptive use.

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来源期刊

Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合

CiteScore

31.40

自引率

1.10%

发文量

312

审稿时长

2 months

期刊介绍： Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.