帝国的重生:俄罗斯与土耳其在黑海地区的竞争与合作(政治与历史分析)

IF 0.4 Q3 AREA STUDIES
A. Irkhin, Olga A. Moskalenko, Natalya E. Kabanova, Natalya E. Demeshko
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引用次数: 0

摘要

介绍现代俄罗斯和土耳其正在动态发展地缘政治中心,积极参与形成新的国际关系模式。研究的目的是确定两国的历史模式和互动模式如何影响当前的合作及其在不久的将来可能发生的冲突,并比较它们在新世界秩序中获得大国地位的主要资源机会。材料和方法。这项研究是在古典地缘政治范式的框架内进行的,采用了系统、地缘政治、文明和历史的方法。作者以帝国制度互动的形式来思考俄土关系的历史经验。后果可以看出,尽管俄罗斯和土耳其可以被视为历史上的对手,但它们的帝国性质是基于影响其当代外交政策的欧亚空间项目。尽管发生了12次俄土战争,但这两个大国从未对彼此构成生存威胁,并经历了前所未有的政治和解时期,同时他们也面临着来自统一西方的生存挑战。现在,俄罗斯和土耳其在经济和地缘政治领域有着巨大的合作空间,在三个关键地区发生冲突:东地中海和北非、黑海地区、南高加索和中亚。互动的核心问题是黑海海峡的运作问题。这一问题是在俄罗斯联邦在乌克兰的特别军事行动开始后更新的,当时安卡拉根据《蒙特勒公约》为所有有利于俄罗斯的军舰封锁了海峡。讨论和结论。俄罗斯和土耳其的主权复兴是双边关系极不稳定的一个原因,由于两国总统的个人因素,目前正在形成一个积极的议程:痛苦的问题将推迟到未来。这种情况需要对两个大国互动的历史和政治经验进行定性的科学考察,并为未来的双边关系建模。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Rebirth of Empires: Contest and Cooperation of Russia and Türkiye in the Black Sea Region(Political and Historical Analysis)
Introduction. Modern Russia and Türkiye are dynamically developing geopolitical centers actively participating in the formation of a new model of international relations. The purpose of the research is to determine how historical models and patterns of interaction of the two states have influenced on current cooperation and their possible clash in the near future and compare their main resource opportunities for obtaining the status of a power in the new world order. Materials and Methods. The study is carried out within the framework of the paradigms of classical geopolitics using system, geopolitical, civilizational and historical approaches. The authors consider the historical experience of Russian-Turkish relations in the form of the interaction of imperial systems. Results. It’s seen that although Russia and Türkiye can be seen as historical antagonists, their imperial nature is based on Eurasian spatial projects that influence their contemporary foreign policy. Despite the12 Russian-Turkish wars, the powers have never posed an existential threat to each other and have had unprecedented periods of political rapprochement, while at the same time they have faced the existential challenges from the united West. Now, having a significant space for cooperation in the economic and geopolitical sphere, Russia and Türkiye clash in three key regions: the Eastern Mediterranean and North Africa, the Black Sea region, the South Caucasus and Central Asia. The central issue of interaction is the problem of the functioning of the Black Sea straits. The issue was updated after the start of the Special Military Operation of the Russian Federation in Ukraine, when Ankara, on the basis of the Montreux Convention, blocked the straits for all warships that benefits Russia. Discussion and Conclusion. The sovereign revival of Russia and Türkiye is a reason for an extremely unstable climate of bilateral relations, within which a positive agenda is currently being formed due to the personal factor of the two presidents: painful issues to be postponed for future. This state of affairs requires a qualitative scientific examination of the historical and political experience of the interaction of the two powers and modeling of future bilateral relations.
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