冠状病毒大流行期间俄罗斯人口的自然繁殖:风险和后果(以鞑靼斯坦共和国为例)

IF 0.4 Q3 AREA STUDIES
A. Ibragimova, C. Ildarhanova
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引用次数: 2

摘要

介绍。鉴于自2018年以来俄罗斯联邦人口减少,以及自2020年以来在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间人口状况恶化,这项研究具有重要意义。根据对俄罗斯联邦、伏尔加联邦区和鞑靼斯坦共和国自然人口增长人口指标的分析结果,本文确定了在冠状病毒感染蔓延期间影响这些指标的因素。材料与方法。该研究分析了联邦州统计局和统一部门间信息和统计系统关于人口指标(出生率、死亡率、结婚率和离婚率)的业务数据。采用比较、横断面、相关、回归等分析方法,揭示了影响人口状况的重要因素,揭示了疫情期间人口过程的总体趋势。在官方统计数据的基础上,以鞑靼斯坦共和国为例,对俄罗斯人口的自然再生产情况进行了分析;已确定COVID-19大流行期间人口自然下降的主要因素;有必要采取旨在改善健康和降低死亡率以及克服婚姻和家庭关系中的人口危机的新措施。讨论与结论。人们已经得出结论,冠状病毒大流行对未来人口状况的负面影响可能会加剧,这对俄罗斯的国家安全构成威胁。研究资料的意义在于全面分析了人口自然变化导致的人口状况。研究结果可供当局用于制定和调整区域和联邦人口和社会政策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Natural Reproduction of the Population of Russia during the Coronavirus Pandemic: Risks and Consequences (The Case of the Republic of Tatarstan)
Introduction. The study is of relevance due to the decline in the population of the Russian Federation since 2018 and the aggravation of the demographic situation since 2020, during the COVID-19 pandemic. Based on the results of analyses of demographic indicators of natural population growth in the Russian Federation, in the Volga Federal District, and in the Republic of Tatarstan, the article identifies the factors affecting such indicators during the spread of coronavirus infection. Materials and Methods. The study analyzed operational data from the Federal State Statistics Service and the Unified Interdepartmental Information and Statistical System on the demographic indicators (birth rate, mortality, marriage rate, and divorce rate). The comparative, cross-sectional, correlation, and regression methods of analysis were employed, which made it possible to reveal significant factors affecting the demographic situation and identify the general trend of demographic processes during the COVID-19 pandemic. Results. On the basis of the official statistics, an analysis of the demographic situation in terms of natural reproduction of the population of Russia, exemplified by the case of the Republic of Tatarstan has been carried out; the main factors in natural population decline during the COVID-19 pandemic have been identified; the need for the introduction of new measures aimed at improving health and reducing the mortality rate and overcoming the demographic crisis in marriage and family relations has been substantiated. Discussion and Conclusion. Conclusions have been drawn about the possibility of increasing the negative impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the future demographic situation, which is a threat to the national security of Russia. The significance of the research materials consists in a comprehensive analysis of the demographic situation caused by the natural population change. The results of the study can be used by the authorities in the development and adjustment of regional and federal demographic and social policies.
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来源期刊
自引率
33.30%
发文量
37
审稿时长
12 weeks
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