立法者的异议不会影响选举结果

IF 4.6 1区社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE

British Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2022-12-06 DOI:10.1017/S0007123422000618

P. Cowley, Resul Umit

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引用次数: 0

摘要

偏离党派路线的立法者在选举中会有什么后果或好处?我们用过去二十年来英国个人层面的投票选择和选区层面的选举结果的数据来回答这个问题。用面板回归方法探索投票模式随时间的变化，我们发现结果最符合零假设，即立法者的异议在选举中既不奖励也不惩罚。这些结果令人质疑选民对议会中立法异议的了解和/或关心程度。

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Legislator Dissent Does Not Affect Electoral Outcomes

Abstract Are there electoral consequences or benefits for legislators who deviate from the party line? We answer this question with data from individual-level vote choice and constituency-level electoral results in the UK for the last two decades. Exploring the variations in voting patterns over time with a panel-regression approach, we find results that are most compatible with the null hypothesis, that is, that dissent by legislators is neither rewarded nor punished in elections. These results call into question the degree to which voters know and/or care about legislative dissent in parliament.

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来源期刊

British Journal of Political Science POLITICAL SCIENCE-

CiteScore

8.70

自引率

4.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： The British Journal of Political Science is a broadly based journal aiming to cover developments across a wide range of countries and specialisms. Contributions are drawn from all fields of political science (including political theory, political behaviour, public policy and international relations), and articles from scholars in related disciplines (sociology, social psychology, economics and philosophy) appear frequently. With a reputation established over nearly 40 years of publication, the British Journal of Political Science is widely recognised as one of the premier journals in its field.