{"title":"主权债券市场一体化的实证分析","authors":"Kei-Ichiro Inaba","doi":"10.1016/j.mulfin.2020.100674","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This article analyses developments in and the determinants of the country-specific dependence of sovereign bond returns on global factors for 41 economies. The dependence is cyclical and substantial: the average for the sample economies and period is around 56 percent. This is consistent with the global financial cycle hypothesis stressing the dominant role played by global factors in the synchronization of asset price changes across economies. The dependence is smaller for emerging economies than for advanced economies. Differences in the dependence across economies and over time are attributable to country fixed effects and time-varying factors. These factors include the size and openness of domestic bond markets, the variability of foreign exchange rates, macro-economic policies, and national indebtedness. One policy implication of the global financial cycle hypothesis is also examined – the dilemma between international capital mobility and monetary policy.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47268,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Multinational Financial Management","volume":"61 ","pages":"Article 100674"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9000,"publicationDate":"2021-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.mulfin.2020.100674","citationCount":"2","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"An empirical illustration of the integration of sovereign bond markets\",\"authors\":\"Kei-Ichiro Inaba\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.mulfin.2020.100674\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>This article analyses developments in and the determinants of the country-specific dependence of sovereign bond returns on global factors for 41 economies. The dependence is cyclical and substantial: the average for the sample economies and period is around 56 percent. This is consistent with the global financial cycle hypothesis stressing the dominant role played by global factors in the synchronization of asset price changes across economies. The dependence is smaller for emerging economies than for advanced economies. Differences in the dependence across economies and over time are attributable to country fixed effects and time-varying factors. These factors include the size and openness of domestic bond markets, the variability of foreign exchange rates, macro-economic policies, and national indebtedness. One policy implication of the global financial cycle hypothesis is also examined – the dilemma between international capital mobility and monetary policy.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":47268,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Multinational Financial Management\",\"volume\":\"61 \",\"pages\":\"Article 100674\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-09-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.mulfin.2020.100674\",\"citationCount\":\"2\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Multinational Financial Management\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1042444X20300633\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Multinational Financial Management","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1042444X20300633","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
An empirical illustration of the integration of sovereign bond markets
This article analyses developments in and the determinants of the country-specific dependence of sovereign bond returns on global factors for 41 economies. The dependence is cyclical and substantial: the average for the sample economies and period is around 56 percent. This is consistent with the global financial cycle hypothesis stressing the dominant role played by global factors in the synchronization of asset price changes across economies. The dependence is smaller for emerging economies than for advanced economies. Differences in the dependence across economies and over time are attributable to country fixed effects and time-varying factors. These factors include the size and openness of domestic bond markets, the variability of foreign exchange rates, macro-economic policies, and national indebtedness. One policy implication of the global financial cycle hypothesis is also examined – the dilemma between international capital mobility and monetary policy.
期刊介绍:
International trade, financing and investments have grown at an extremely rapid pace in recent years, and the operations of corporations have become increasingly multinationalized. Corporate executives buying and selling goods and services, and making financing and investment decisions across national boundaries, have developed policies and procedures for managing cash flows denominated in foreign currencies. These policies and procedures, and the related managerial actions of executives, change as new relevant information becomes available. The purpose of the Journal of Multinational Financial Management is to publish rigorous, original articles dealing with the management of the multinational enterprise. Theoretical, conceptual, and empirical papers providing meaningful insights into the subject areas will be considered. The following topic areas, although not exhaustive, are representative of the coverage in this Journal. • Foreign exchange risk management • International capital budgeting • Forecasting exchange rates • Foreign direct investment • Hedging strategies • Cost of capital • Managing transaction exposure • Political risk assessment • International working capital management • International financial planning • International tax management • International diversification • Transfer pricing strategies • International liability management • International mergers.