新冠肺炎大流行期间货币政策对五个新兴经济体房价的影响

IF 1.5 Q3 URBAN STUDIES
Trung Ba Nguyen, Chon Van Le
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文旨在研究新冠肺炎疫情和政府政策对巴西、中国、泰国、土耳其和南非五个新兴经济体实际房价指数的动态影响。设计/方法/方法作者对这些国家的面板数据集使用了当地预测方法,时间跨度为2020年1月至2021年7月。新冠肺炎确诊病例数量推高了房价,而政府的遏制措施则降低了房价。各国央行为应对新冠肺炎疫情而实施的常规和非常规货币政策都助长了房价上涨。通过全球化的金融市场,美国的货币政策加强了这些影响。原创性/价值首先,虽然以前的研究通常集中在发达国家,但作者调查了受疫情严重影响的人口比例更高的新兴经济体。其次,五个新兴经济体的面板数据集使作者能够检查COVID-19危机对房价的动态影响。第三,据作者所知,这是第一项评估疫情期间放松货币政策对新兴经济体房价影响的研究。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impacts of monetary policy on housing prices in five emerging economies during the Covid-19 pandemic
Purpose This paper aims to examine the dynamic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and government policy on real house price indices in five emerging economies, namely, Brazil, China, Thailand, Turkey and South Africa. Design/methodology/approach The authors use the local projection method with a panel data set of these countries spanning from January 2020 to July 2021. Findings The number of COVID-19 confirmed positive cases raised housing prices, whereas government containment measures reduced them. Both conventional and unconventional monetary policy implemented by central banks to cope with the COVID-19 helped increase housing prices. These effects were strengthened by the US monetary policy via globalized financial markets. Originality/value First, while previous researches typically concentrated on developed countries, the authors investigate emerging economies where proportionally more people were badly affected by the pandemic. Second, a panel data set of five emerging economies enabled the authors to examine the dynamic effects of the COVID-19 crisis on housing prices. Third, to the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first study evaluating the influences of easing monetary policy on housing prices in emerging economies during the pandemic.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.80
自引率
29.40%
发文量
68
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