应用程序模型神经模糊预测孟加拉梭河洪水

Nurmalitasari Nurmalitasari, Sri Sumarlinda
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的目的是实现小波神经模糊方法来预测Bengawan Solo河的水位。小波神经模糊方法是离散小波变换、人工神经网络和模糊逻辑的模型组合。小波神经模糊建模旨在减少每个系统的弱点,并结合每个系统现有的优势,因此预测结果具有很小的误差值。预测洪水的时间很重要,因为预测结果可以在洪水到来时向河流周围的社区提供预警信息,从而降低灾害风险,为应急行动做好准备。本研究中使用的数据是从AWLR Serenan post获得的高水位数据。小波神经模糊方法的预测结果表明,均方误差(MSE)为0.0613。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Aplikasi Model Wavelet Neuro Fuzzy Untuk Memprediksi Banjir Sungai Bengawan Solo
 The objectives of this research is to implementation wavelet neuro fuzzy method to predict water level of Bengawan Solo river. The wavelet neuro fuzzy method is a model combination between discrete wavelet transformation, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and fuzzy logic. Wavelet Neuro fuzzy modeling aims to reduce the weaknesses of each system, and combine existing advantages of each system, so the predicted result has a very small error value. Predicted when the flood is important because the predicted result can provide early warning information to the community around the river when the arrival of floods so as to reduce the risk of disaster and prepare for emergency response action. The data used in this research are high level of water level data obtained from AWLR Serenan post. The results of the wavelet neuro fuzzy method show the Mean Square error (MSE) forecast of 0.0613.
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