{"title":"对潜在输赢信息的需求:信息是否重要?","authors":"Matthew D. Hilchey, Dilip Soman","doi":"10.1002/bdm.2322","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>The ostrich effect refers to the observation that people prioritize gathering information about prospectively positive financial outcomes. It is especially problematic when information about negative and positive outcomes is equally useful for making sound financial decisions. Yet, it is unclear to what extent this phenomenon is moderated by whether outcome information is useful for making choices. Here, we test whether making outcome information instrumental to choice moderates the ostrich effect by randomly assigning 800 adults to one of two computer-based gambling tasks, one in which they chose between two 50/50 win/lose gambles and another in which the computer chose one for them at random. The four possible outcomes were concealed by win/loss marked tiles, and participants were required to reveal three of the four possible outcomes before a gamble could be selected. The key finding was that demand for full information about losses increased significantly when participants made their own choices, and thus, outcome information was instrumental. The findings suggest that information about losses is de-prioritized particularly when people cannot take action to influence payoffs.</p>","PeriodicalId":48112,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Behavioral Decision Making","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.8000,"publicationDate":"2023-03-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/bdm.2322","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Demand for information about potential wins and losses: Does it matter if information matters?\",\"authors\":\"Matthew D. Hilchey, Dilip Soman\",\"doi\":\"10.1002/bdm.2322\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>The ostrich effect refers to the observation that people prioritize gathering information about prospectively positive financial outcomes. It is especially problematic when information about negative and positive outcomes is equally useful for making sound financial decisions. Yet, it is unclear to what extent this phenomenon is moderated by whether outcome information is useful for making choices. Here, we test whether making outcome information instrumental to choice moderates the ostrich effect by randomly assigning 800 adults to one of two computer-based gambling tasks, one in which they chose between two 50/50 win/lose gambles and another in which the computer chose one for them at random. The four possible outcomes were concealed by win/loss marked tiles, and participants were required to reveal three of the four possible outcomes before a gamble could be selected. The key finding was that demand for full information about losses increased significantly when participants made their own choices, and thus, outcome information was instrumental. The findings suggest that information about losses is de-prioritized particularly when people cannot take action to influence payoffs.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48112,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Behavioral Decision Making\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-03-14\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/bdm.2322\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Behavioral Decision Making\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"102\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/bdm.2322\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"心理学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"PSYCHOLOGY, APPLIED\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Behavioral Decision Making","FirstCategoryId":"102","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/bdm.2322","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"PSYCHOLOGY, APPLIED","Score":null,"Total":0}
Demand for information about potential wins and losses: Does it matter if information matters?
The ostrich effect refers to the observation that people prioritize gathering information about prospectively positive financial outcomes. It is especially problematic when information about negative and positive outcomes is equally useful for making sound financial decisions. Yet, it is unclear to what extent this phenomenon is moderated by whether outcome information is useful for making choices. Here, we test whether making outcome information instrumental to choice moderates the ostrich effect by randomly assigning 800 adults to one of two computer-based gambling tasks, one in which they chose between two 50/50 win/lose gambles and another in which the computer chose one for them at random. The four possible outcomes were concealed by win/loss marked tiles, and participants were required to reveal three of the four possible outcomes before a gamble could be selected. The key finding was that demand for full information about losses increased significantly when participants made their own choices, and thus, outcome information was instrumental. The findings suggest that information about losses is de-prioritized particularly when people cannot take action to influence payoffs.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Behavioral Decision Making is a multidisciplinary journal with a broad base of content and style. It publishes original empirical reports, critical review papers, theoretical analyses and methodological contributions. The Journal also features book, software and decision aiding technique reviews, abstracts of important articles published elsewhere and teaching suggestions. The objective of the Journal is to present and stimulate behavioral research on decision making and to provide a forum for the evaluation of complementary, contrasting and conflicting perspectives. These perspectives include psychology, management science, sociology, political science and economics. Studies of behavioral decision making in naturalistic and applied settings are encouraged.