基于概率犹豫模糊MCDM方法评价印度COVID-19大流行干预策略

IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Jeonghwan Jeon , Krishnan Suvitha , Noreen Izza Arshad , Samayan Kalaiselvan , Samayan Narayanamoorthy , Massimiliano Ferrara , Ali Ahmadian
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引用次数: 3

摘要

前所未有的新型冠状病毒大流行(COVID-19)在全球范围内造成了严重破坏。Covid-19大流行影响到所有国家,包括政府干预计划,因此成为重大威胁。本研究旨在针对COVID-19大流行期间不同国家采用的具体政府策略和干预措施的有效性,在受限生态系统中开发一种混合模糊多标准决策(F-MCDM)模型。在印度进行了一项实证案例研究,其预期标准为:“民众接受度高”、“遏制COVID-19流行的有效性”、“与任何其他标准的兼容性”、“估计总成本”和“易于实施”。就战略排名而言,"接种疫苗"、"社会隔离"和"发展紧急状况"是排名前三位的战略。因此,SARS-CoV-2疫苗减少了老年人与covid -19相关的住院治疗,从而降低了covid -19后的发病率和死亡率。许多国家对选择可能的政府倡议和执行这些决定有不同的建议。印度在制定公共卫生政策、防止错误信息以及管理行为和应对方面的战略被列为所列战略中的前三个优先事项。敏感性分析证实了这些结果的有效性。在这项工作中,这些发现的含义在发展中国家进行了讨论。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A probabilistic hesitant fuzzy MCDM approach to evaluate India’s intervention strategies against the COVID-19 pandemic

The unprecedented coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19) has wreaked havoc across the globe. The Covid-19 pandemic has affected all countries, including government intervention programs, thus becoming a significant threat. This study aims to develop a hybrid fuzzy multi-criteria decision-making (F-MCDM) model in a constrained ecosystem in response to specific government strategies and the effectiveness of interventions used in different countries during the COVID-19 pandemic. An empirical case study is conducted in India with five prospective criteria: “high acceptance among the populace”, “effectiveness in halting the COVID-19 epidemic”, “compatibility by any other standard”, “estimated total cost”, and “simple to implement”. Regarding the ranking of strategies, “vaccinations”, “social isolation”, and “development of an emergence” are the top three strategies. As a result, SARS-CoV-2 vaccines have reduced COVID-19-related hospitalizations in the elderly, which has reduced post-CoVID morbidity and mortality. Many countries have different recommendations for selecting possible government initiatives and implementing those decisions. India’s strategies for developing public health policies, preventing misinformation, and managing behavior and response were ranked as the top three priorities among the listed strategies. Sensitivity analysis confirmed the validity of these results. In this work, the implications of these findings are discussed in terms of a developing nation.

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来源期刊
Socio-economic Planning Sciences
Socio-economic Planning Sciences OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE-
CiteScore
9.40
自引率
13.10%
发文量
294
审稿时长
58 days
期刊介绍: Studies directed toward the more effective utilization of existing resources, e.g. mathematical programming models of health care delivery systems with relevance to more effective program design; systems analysis of fire outbreaks and its relevance to the location of fire stations; statistical analysis of the efficiency of a developing country economy or industry. Studies relating to the interaction of various segments of society and technology, e.g. the effects of government health policies on the utilization and design of hospital facilities; the relationship between housing density and the demands on public transportation or other service facilities: patterns and implications of urban development and air or water pollution. Studies devoted to the anticipations of and response to future needs for social, health and other human services, e.g. the relationship between industrial growth and the development of educational resources in affected areas; investigation of future demands for material and child health resources in a developing country; design of effective recycling in an urban setting.
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