消除发展主义的风险:绿色氢的故事

IF 3 2区 社会学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES
Daniela Gabor, Ndongo Samba Sylla
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在扩大绿色氢的全球竞赛中,对国家有形之手的重新渴望再次有望扩大中低收入国家的发展空间。在非洲大陆,一些国家已经宣布了绿色工业化的雄心,这些雄心依赖于通过各种“去风险”计划动员寻找投资机会的私人(机构)资本。为了研究这种新的无风险发展主义的变革潜力,本文扩展了关键的宏观金融视角,包括坦迪卡·姆坎达维尔关于独立后非洲发展国家的理论。以纳米比亚为例,该报告认为,“神圣巧合”的假设为国家打造低风险集团创造了意识形态空间,但在结构上削弱了其约束私人资本追求绿色工业化的能力。由于(外国)资本在降低发展主义风险的国家资本关系中占据主导地位,由强大的投资者和全球北方政府制定的新绿色规则有可能将全球南方国家转变为绿色氢技术的消费者和证券投资者收益的创造者,从而加强了其持续外债脆弱性的结构性驱动因素。相反,各国应该尝试绿色公有制和伙伴关系,以规范当地的绿色产业。这样的策略需要用一个支持性的全球宏观金融框架取代华尔街共识,作者称之为“绿色万隆森林”。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Derisking Developmentalism: A Tale of Green Hydrogen

Derisking Developmentalism: A Tale of Green Hydrogen

In the global race to scale up green hydrogen, a renewed appetite for the visible hand of the state once again promises to expand developmental space for low- and middle-income countries. On the African continent, several countries have announced green industrialization ambitions that rely on mobilizing, through various ‘derisking’ schemes, private (institutional) capital looking for investible opportunities. To examine the transformative potential of this new derisking developmentalism, this article extends the critical macrofinance lens to include Thandika Mkandawire's theorization of post-independence African developmental states. Using Namibia as an illustration, it argues that an assumption of ‘divine coincidence’ creates the ideological space for the state to forge derisking blocs but structurally weakens its ability to discipline private capital into pursuing green industrialization. As (foreign) capital dominates the state‒capital relationship in derisking developmentalism, the new green rules written by powerful investors and global North governments threaten to transform global South countries into consumers of green hydrogen technology and generators of yield for portfolio investors, thus reinforcing the structural drivers of their ongoing external debt vulnerabilities. Instead, countries should experiment with green public ownership and partnerships that discipline local green industries. Such strategies require replacing the Wall Street Consensus with a supportive global macrofinancial framework the authors call ‘Green Bandung Woods’.

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来源期刊
Development and Change
Development and Change DEVELOPMENT STUDIES-
CiteScore
6.80
自引率
3.30%
发文量
46
期刊介绍: Development and Change is essential reading for anyone interested in development studies and social change. It publishes articles from a wide range of authors, both well-established specialists and young scholars, and is an important resource for: - social science faculties and research institutions - international development agencies and NGOs - graduate teachers and researchers - all those with a serious interest in the dynamics of development, from reflective activists to analytical practitioners
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