{"title":"具有无界二次损失的专家预测在线聚合算法","authors":"Alexander Korotin, V. V'yugin, E. Burnaev","doi":"10.1070/RM9961","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We consider the problem of online aggregation of experts’ predictions with a quadratic loss function. At the beginning of each round t = 1, 2, . . . , T , experts n = 1, . . . , N provide predictions γ t , . . . , γ t ∈ H (where H is a Hilbert space). The player aggregates the predictions to a single prediction γt ∈ H. Then nature provides the true outcome ω ∈ H. The player and the experts n = 1, . . . , N suffer the losses ht = ∥ω−γt∥ and l t = ∥ω−γ t ∥, respectively, and the next round t + 1 begins. The goal of the player is to minimize the regret, that is, the difference between the total loss of the player and the loss of the best expert: RT = ∑T t=1 ht −minn=1,...,N ∑T t=1 l n t .","PeriodicalId":1,"journal":{"name":"Accounts of Chemical Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":16.4000,"publicationDate":"2020-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Online algorithm for aggregating experts’ predictions with unbounded quadratic loss\",\"authors\":\"Alexander Korotin, V. V'yugin, E. Burnaev\",\"doi\":\"10.1070/RM9961\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"We consider the problem of online aggregation of experts’ predictions with a quadratic loss function. At the beginning of each round t = 1, 2, . . . , T , experts n = 1, . . . , N provide predictions γ t , . . . , γ t ∈ H (where H is a Hilbert space). The player aggregates the predictions to a single prediction γt ∈ H. Then nature provides the true outcome ω ∈ H. The player and the experts n = 1, . . . , N suffer the losses ht = ∥ω−γt∥ and l t = ∥ω−γ t ∥, respectively, and the next round t + 1 begins. The goal of the player is to minimize the regret, that is, the difference between the total loss of the player and the loss of the best expert: RT = ∑T t=1 ht −minn=1,...,N ∑T t=1 l n t .\",\"PeriodicalId\":1,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Accounts of Chemical Research\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":16.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-10-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Accounts of Chemical Research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1070/RM9961\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"化学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Accounts of Chemical Research","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1070/RM9961","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"化学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
摘要
我们考虑了具有二次损失函数的专家预测的在线聚合问题。在每一轮的开始t=1,2,T,专家n=1,N提供预测γ,γt∈H(其中H是希尔伯特空间)。玩家将预测聚合为一个单独的预测γt∈H。然后自然提供了真实的结果ω∈H.玩家和专家n=1,N分别遭受损失ht=½ω-γt½和l t=½ω-伽玛t½,下一轮t+1开始。玩家的目标是最大限度地减少遗憾,即玩家的总损失与最佳专家的损失之差:RT=∑T T=1 ht−minn=1,。。。,N∑T T=1 l N T。
Online algorithm for aggregating experts’ predictions with unbounded quadratic loss
We consider the problem of online aggregation of experts’ predictions with a quadratic loss function. At the beginning of each round t = 1, 2, . . . , T , experts n = 1, . . . , N provide predictions γ t , . . . , γ t ∈ H (where H is a Hilbert space). The player aggregates the predictions to a single prediction γt ∈ H. Then nature provides the true outcome ω ∈ H. The player and the experts n = 1, . . . , N suffer the losses ht = ∥ω−γt∥ and l t = ∥ω−γ t ∥, respectively, and the next round t + 1 begins. The goal of the player is to minimize the regret, that is, the difference between the total loss of the player and the loss of the best expert: RT = ∑T t=1 ht −minn=1,...,N ∑T t=1 l n t .
期刊介绍:
Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance.
Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.