高阶环境场因子在TC突发性递归过程中的应用

IF 2.4 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Guanbo Zhou , Shuanzhu Gao , Longsheng Liu , Bin Huang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

利用欧洲中心ERA-Interim水平分辨率为0.25°× 0.25°的6小时再分析资料和中国气象局提供的每小时台风业务资料,推导了一个新的高水平环境场因子,并对其在2018年14号台风八木和18号台风伦比亚复变期的应用进行了对比分析。对比研究发现,在其北移过程中,在Rumbia东北部始终存在明显的高水平环境场因子正异常值区,这意味着在Rumbia东北部存在明显的∇•u→变化和较大的负值梯度。受西风槽东移及副热带西风急流增强影响,预料未来伦巴将转向东北方向。而八城东北方向的高空环境场因子变化不明显,且离高空急流较远,不利于八城的东北复变。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Application of high-level environmental field factor in TC's sudden recurvature process

Using the 6-hourly reanalysis data of European Center ERA-Interim with horizontal resolution of 0.25° × 0.25° and hourly typhoon operational data provided by the CMA (China Meteorological Administration), a new high-level environmental field factor is derived, and its application during the recurvature period of No. 14 Typhoon Yagi and No. 18 Typhoon Rumbia in 2018 is compared and analyzed. According to the comparison study, there is always a clear positive abnormal value area of high-level environmental field factor on the northeast of Rumbia during its northward movement, implying an obvious alteration of u and a big negative gradient of u on the northeast of Rumbia. With the eastward movement of the westerly trough and the strengthening of the subtropical westerly jet, Rumbia is expected to veer northeast. However, the change of high-level environmental field factor on the northeast of Yagi is not noticeable, and Yagi is far away from the upper-level jet stream, which is not conducive to Yagi's northeast recurvature.

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来源期刊
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES-
CiteScore
4.60
自引率
3.40%
发文量
184
审稿时长
30 weeks
期刊介绍: Tropical Cyclone Research and Review is an international journal focusing on tropical cyclone monitoring, forecasting, and research as well as associated hydrological effects and disaster risk reduction. This journal is edited and published by the ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee (TC) and the Shanghai Typhoon Institute of the China Meteorology Administration (STI/CMA). Contributions from all tropical cyclone basins are welcome. Scope of the journal includes: • Reviews of tropical cyclones exhibiting unusual characteristics or behavior or resulting in disastrous impacts on Typhoon Committee Members and other regional WMO bodies • Advances in applied and basic tropical cyclone research or technology to improve tropical cyclone forecasts and warnings • Basic theoretical studies of tropical cyclones • Event reports, compelling images, and topic review reports of tropical cyclones • Impacts, risk assessments, and risk management techniques related to tropical cyclones
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