2019冠状病毒病爆发早期的经济前景

IF 1.7 4区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS

Contemporary Economic Policy Pub Date : 2023-06-03 DOI:10.1111/coep.12616

Keyang Li, Yu Qin, Jing Wu, Jubo Yan

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引用次数: 0

摘要

在疫情爆发初期，新的疫情如何影响个人对经济前景的预期?在2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)疫情在中国爆发后不久，我们实施了一项有激励的纵向在线调查来回答这个问题。结果显示，新增确诊病例减少显著提高了个人对国内生产总值和居民消费价格指数增长率的预期。我们的发现提供了证据，表明在一种不熟悉的流行病的早期阶段，控制疾病的传播可能有助于保持个人对经济的积极预期。

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Perceived economic prospects during the early stage of COVID-19 breakout

How does a new epidemic affect individuals' expectations on economic prospects in the early stage of the breakout? We implemented an incentivized longitudinal online survey soon after the outbreak of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic in China to answer this question. Results show that fewer new confirmed COVID-19 cases significantly increase individuals' expectations on gross domestic product and consumer price index growth rates. Our finding provides evidence that at the early stage of an unfamiliar epidemic, containing the spread of the disease may help to maintain positive economic expectations among individuals.

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来源期刊

Contemporary Economic Policy Multiple-

CiteScore

3.10

自引率

6.70%

发文量

期刊介绍： Contemporary Economic Policy publishes scholarly economic research and analysis on issues of vital concern to business, government, and other decision makers. Leading western scholars, including three Nobel laureates, are among CEP"s authors. The objectives are to communicate results of high quality economic analysis to policymakers, focus high quality research and analysis on current policy issues of widespread concern, increase knowledge among economists of features of the economy key to understanding the impact of policy, and to advance methods of policy analysis.