亚洲股票与政府债券的时变相关性:向质量的转变

Mahanani Margani, Z. Husodo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在概述危机发生时亚洲股票和债券市场之间的关系(以2008年全球危机和COVID-19大流行为例),使用DCC-GARCH方法来证明亚洲(中国、日本、印度尼西亚、新加坡、马来西亚、泰国和印度)的避险现象。结果表明,在2008年全球金融危机期间,泰国出现了逃向优质资产的现象,危机期间该国股票收益与政府债券的相关性变得越来越负,表明投资从股票转向政府债券。此外,本研究还证明,在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,马来西亚也出现了“飞向质量”现象。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Time-Varying Correlation Between Stock and Government Bond in Asia: Flight-to-Quality
This study aims to provide an overview of how the relationship between stock and bond market in Asia when a crisis occurs (in this case the 2008 global crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic) using the DCC-GARCH method to prove the flight-to-quality phenomenon in Asia (China, Japan, Indonesia, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, and India). The results showed that during the 2008 global crisis, the flight-to-quality phenomenon happened in Thailand where the correlation between stock returns and government bonds in that country became increasingly negative during the crisis period, indicating that there was a shift in investment from stocks to government bonds. In addition, this research also proved that during the COVID-19 pandemic, the flight-to-quality phenomenon was also proven to occur in Malaysia.
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