心理压力对竞争环境中先发优势的影响:来自点球大战的证据

IF 1.7 4区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS

Contemporary Economic Policy Pub Date : 2022-08-16 DOI:10.1111/coep.12588

Ricardo Manuel Santos

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引用次数: 1

摘要

在本文中，我们旨在确定心理压力对连续比赛中表现的重要性。我们利用足球中的点球大战来检验先发优势的存在。足球比赛中的点球大战是一个令人生畏的框架，因为它是一种自然实验，各队按照一个顺序进行比赛，而这个顺序是由抛硬币的随机结果决定的。使用自1970年首次实施以来所有主要比赛中所有663次点球大战的数据，我们无法确定在点球大战顺序中踢第一球或踢第二球的球队在获胜概率上的统计学显著差异。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Effects of psychological pressure on first-mover advantage in competitive environments: Evidence from penalty shootouts

In this paper, we aim to determine the importance of psychological pressure on performance in sequential tournaments. We make use of penalty shootouts in soccer and test the presence of first-mover advantage. Shootouts in soccer is a formidable framework because it is a natural experiment where teams compete in a sequence whose order is determined by the random outcome of a coin toss. Using data from all 663 penalty shootouts in all major competitions since first implemented in 1970, we fail to identify statistically significant differences in winning probabilities for teams kicking first or second in the shootout sequence.

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来源期刊

Contemporary Economic Policy Multiple-

CiteScore

3.10

自引率

6.70%

发文量

期刊介绍： Contemporary Economic Policy publishes scholarly economic research and analysis on issues of vital concern to business, government, and other decision makers. Leading western scholars, including three Nobel laureates, are among CEP"s authors. The objectives are to communicate results of high quality economic analysis to policymakers, focus high quality research and analysis on current policy issues of widespread concern, increase knowledge among economists of features of the economy key to understanding the impact of policy, and to advance methods of policy analysis.