食品恐慌对贸易的影响:恒天然污染事件

Q3 Business, Management and Accounting

Journal of Agricultural and Food Industrial Organization Pub Date : 2018-01-11 DOI:10.1515/JAFIO-2016-0031

Katarina Stojkov, Ilan Noy, Yiğit Sağlam

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引用次数: 9

摘要

摘要本文探讨了乳制品行业的食品污染恐慌对乳制品出口的影响。我们在2013年新西兰乳清蛋白浓缩物污染事件的背景下调查了这个问题。我们使用综合控制方法评估了这一事件对乳制品出口的影响。使用未受恐慌影响的其他国家的加权信息，开发了一个没有发生事件的合成反事实场景。我们发现，最初被认为受到污染的产品的出口受到了负面冲击，但对其他乳制品没有重大的持续影响。受影响的产品仅占新西兰乳制品出口的一小部分，绝大多数乳制品出口未受影响。婴儿配方奶粉出口在恐慌一年多后似乎已经恢复。然而，乳清产品（受污染的产品）的出口量仍然低于其他情况。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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The Trade Impacts of a Food Scare: The Fonterra Contamination Incident

Abstract This paper examines the impact of a food contamination scare in the dairy sector on dairy exports. We investigate this question in the context of the 2013 Whey Protein Concentrate contamination incident in New Zealand. We assess the impact of this incident on dairy exports using synthetic control methods. A synthetic counterfactual scenario where the incident did not occur is developed using weighted information from other countries unaffected by the scare. We find that there was an initial negative shock to the exports of products that were thought to have been contaminated, but that there were no significant sustained impacts on other dairy products. The affected products made up only a small proportion of New Zealand dairy exports, with the vast majority of dairy exports being unaffected. Infant formula exports appear to have recovered more than a year after the scare. However, whey product exports (the contaminated product) remain lower than they otherwise would have been.

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来源期刊

Journal of Agricultural and Food Industrial Organization Business, Management and Accounting-Business, Management and Accounting (all)

CiteScore

3.10

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： The Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization (JAFIO) is a unique forum for empirical and theoretical research in industrial organization with a special focus on agricultural and food industries worldwide. As concentration, industrialization, and globalization continue to reshape horizontal and vertical relationships within the food supply chain, agricultural economists are revising both their views of traditional markets as well as their tools of analysis. At the core of this revision are strategic interactions between principals and agents, strategic interdependence between rival firms, and strategic trade policy between competing nations, all in a setting plagued by incomplete and/or imperfect information structures. Add to that biotechnology, electronic commerce, as well as the shift in focus from raw agricultural commodities to branded products, and the conclusion is that a "new" agricultural economics is needed for an increasingly complex "new" agriculture.