验证的再犯风险评分与青少年再犯的七种常见测量方法的关联强度的变化:一份研究报告

IF 1.5 1区社会学 Q2 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY

Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice Pub Date : 2022-07-14 DOI:10.1177/15412040221115056

Sonja E. Siennick, Jhon A. Pupo

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引用次数: 2

摘要

本研究的目的是比较先前验证的风险评分在七种不同的青少年累犯操作中的预测强度。该研究借鉴了衡量青少年再犯罪研究佛罗里达部分的数据，考察了两个研究问题。首先，累犯风险评分是否能显著预测青少年累犯的各种指标？其次，风险评分对青少年累犯的不同衡量标准是否具有统计学上的不同影响？研究结果显示，风险评分显著预测了青少年累犯的所有七项指标。此外，累犯衡量标准之间统计上不同关联的唯一证据来自标记事件（即系统接触类型）的比较。总风险评分对转诊的预测力明显强于裁决/定罪，对裁决和承诺的预测力更强。总之，我们的研究结果强调了验证青少年累犯多个不同操作的风险评估分数的重要性。

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Exploring Variation in the Strength of Association of a Validated Recidivism Risk Score With Seven Common Measures of Juvenile Recidivism: A Research Note

The purpose of this study was to compare the predictive strength of a previously validated risk score across seven different operationalizations of juvenile recidivism. Drawing on data from the Florida portion of the Measuring Juvenile Reoffending Study, the study examines two research questions. First, do recidivism risk scores significantly predict a variety of measures of juvenile recidivism? And second, do risk scores exert statistically different effects on different measures of juvenile recidivism? The findings revealed that risk score significantly predicted all seven measures of juvenile recidivism. In addition, the only evidence of statistically different associations across measures of recidivism came from marker event (i.e., types of system contact) comparisons. Total risk score was a significantly stronger predictor of referral than of adjudication/conviction and a stronger predictor of adjudication and commitment. Altogether, our results highlight the importance of validating risk assessment scores on multiple different operationalizations of juvenile recidivism.

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来源期刊

Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY-

CiteScore

6.90

自引率

10.50%

发文量

期刊介绍： Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice: An Interdisciplinary Journal provides academics and practitioners in juvenile justice and related fields with a resource for publishing current empirical research on programs, policies, and practices in the areas of youth violence and juvenile justice. Emphasis is placed on such topics as serious and violent juvenile offenders, juvenile offender recidivism, institutional violence, and other relevant topics to youth violence and juvenile justice such as risk assessment, psychopathy, self-control, and gang membership, among others. Decided emphasis is placed on empirical research with specific implications relevant to juvenile justice process, policy, and administration. Interdisciplinary in scope, Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice serves a diverse audience of academics and practitioners in the fields of criminal justice, education, psychology, social work, behavior analysis, sociology, law, counseling, public health, and all others with an interest in youth violence and juvenile justice.