临近预测澳大利亚主要宏观经济变量

IF 1 4区经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS

Australian Economic Review Pub Date : 2023-08-08 DOI:10.1111/1467-8462.12524

Michael Anthonisz

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引用次数: 1

摘要

人们依靠预测来判断未来经济可能会出现什么结果。然而，估计目前经济中正在发生的事情或最近发生的事情也很重要。这就是“即时预测”的用武之地。在这篇文章中，我描述了什么是临近预测，为什么它对宏观经济学家来说是一个有用的工具，以及澳大利亚主要宏观经济变量的每日临近预测，包括GDP增长、通货膨胀和失业率。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Nowcasting Key Australian Macroeconomic Variables

Forecasts are relied upon as a guide to what future outcomes for the economy might be. However, it is also important to estimate what is happening in the economy now or has taken place in the recent past. This is where ‘nowcasts’ come in. In this article, I describe what nowcasting is, why it can be a useful tool for macroeconomists as well as present daily nowcasts of key Australian macroeconomic variables, including GDP growth, inflation and the unemployment rate.

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来源期刊

Australian Economic Review ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

1.90

自引率

10.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： An applied economics journal with a strong policy orientation, The Australian Economic Review publishes high-quality articles applying economic analysis to a wide range of macroeconomic and microeconomic topics relevant to both economic and social policy issues. Produced by the Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, it is the leading journal of its kind in Australia and the Asia-Pacific region. While it is of special interest to Australian academics, students, policy makers, and others interested in the Australian economy, the journal also considers matters of international interest.