预计疫情导致的就业变化:2019-29年和2020-30年预测集的比较

IF 4.6 Q2 MATERIALS SCIENCE, BIOMATERIALS
L. Ice, Michael Rieley
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2020年9月,美国劳工统计局发布了2019-29年的就业预测。由于这些预测没有反映2019冠状病毒病(新冠肺炎)大流行的潜在长期影响,BLS在2021年初制定了2019-29年的替代预测,捕捉了选定行业和职业的这些影响。后一种预测基于两种替代的疫情情景(中度影响和强烈影响),随后(2021年9月)进行了劳工统计局对2020-30年十年的预测。本文比较了这些连续预测的目标年就业水平,重点关注替代预测中确定的行业和职业,并讨论了与新冠肺炎大流行相关的相关发展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Expected pandemic-driven employment changes: a comparison of 2019–29 and 2020–30 projection sets
In September 2020, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) published its 2019-29 employment projections. Because these projections did not reflect the potential longterm impacts of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, BLS developed alternate 2019-29 projections in early 2021, capturing those impacts for selected industries and occupations. These latter projections, based on two alternate pandemic scenarios (moderate impact and strong impact), were followed (in September 2021) by BLS projections for the 2020-30 decade. The present article compares target-year employment levels across these successive sets of projections, focusing on the industries and occupations identified in the alternate projections and discussing relevant developments associated with the COVID-19 pandemic.
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来源期刊
ACS Applied Bio Materials
ACS Applied Bio Materials Chemistry-Chemistry (all)
CiteScore
9.40
自引率
2.10%
发文量
464
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