《风险的理性反应》,保罗·维里奇著。牛津大学出版社,2020年,11 + 269页。

IF 1.2 2区 哲学 Q3 ECONOMICS
Ittay Nissan-Rozen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

近年来,越来越多的哲学家开始研究与所谓的“纯粹”态度风险相关的规范性问题。对风险的纯粹态度是对风险的态度,这种态度不能简化为对某些事态的态度,而是直接针对风险本身。尽管这种态度在过去得到了经济学家、心理学家和哲学家的大量关注,但大多数(但肯定不是全部)关注的是描述性问题。当前的趋势在文献中明确地处理规范性问题。保罗·韦里奇的新书对这一新的文学流派作出了深刻而全面的重大贡献。它也是一项非常独特的此类贡献。我将指出两种不同但相关的意义,但在此之前,首先介绍一些必要的背景将是有益的。虽然这违背了他的书的精神(很快就会清楚),为了理解韦里奇的描述与其他当代描述之间的差异,从偏好风险选择的角度来描述对风险的态度将是有用的。考虑一个agent面临两种赌博的决策,两种赌博的可能结果是不同数量的某种可分商品G,这两种赌博对G有相同的期望,但方差不同我们可以说代理人对G是风险厌恶的,如果她更喜欢方差较小的赌博,如果她更喜欢方差较大的赌博,她是风险寻求的,如果她对两个赌博漠不关心,她是风险中性的。例如,考虑一个代理人面临着在100单位G(赌博a)和200单位G(概率为0.5)和零(概率为0.5)(赌博B)之间的选择。风险厌恶的代理人(相对于G)更喜欢a而不是B,风险寻求的代理人更喜欢B而不是a,风险中立的代理人在这两种赌博之间是无所谓的。就G而言,我们可以区分风险厌恶和风险寻求的三种解释(不过为了方便,让我们把重点放在风险厌恶上)首先,代理可能对G是风险厌恶的(如上所述),因为她以一种略微减少(在寻求风险的情况下是增加)的方式来评价每一个额外的G单位。如果代理
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Rational Responses to Risk, Paul Weirich. Oxford University Press, 2020, xi + 269 pages.
In recent years a growing number of philosophers have started working on normative questions related to what may be called ‘pure’ attitudes risk. Pure attitudes to risk are attitudes to risk that cannot be reduced to attitudes to certain states of affairs, but rather are directed to the risk itself. Although such attitudes have gained much attention by economists, psychologists and philosophers in the past, most (but certainly not all) of this attention was directed at descriptive questions. The current trend in the literature deals explicitly with normative questions. Paul Weirich’s new book constitutes a deep and comprehensive major contribution to this new line of literature. It also constitutes a very unique such contribution. I will point to two different – but related – senses in which this is the case, but before doing so it will be instructive to first cover some necessary background. Although this goes against the spirit of his book (as will soon become clear), in order to understand the differences between Weirich’s account and other contemporary accounts, it will be useful to adopt, at the outset, a characterization of attitudes to risk in terms of preferences over risky options. Consider an agent who faces a decision between two gambles whose possible outcomes are different quantities of some divisible good, G. The two gambles have the same expectation in terms of G, but different variances.1 We can say that the agent is risk-averse with respect to G if she prefers the gamble with the lower variance, risk-seeking if she prefers the gamble with the higher variance and risk-neutral if she is indifferent between the gambles. For example, consider an agent who faces a choice between a certain 100 units of G (gamble A) and a gamble that gives 200 units of G with probability 0.5 and nothing with probability 0.5 (gamble B). A risk-averse agent (with respect to G) prefers A to B, a risk-seeking agent prefers B to A and a risk-neutral agent is indifferent between the two gambles. We can distinguish between three types of explanations for risk-aversion and risk-seeking with respect to G (for convenience let us concentrate on riskaversion, though).2 First, the agent might be risk-averse with respect to G (in the sense explicated above) because she values every additional unit of G in a marginally decreasing (increasing in the case of risk-seeking) way. If the agent
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.80
自引率
8.30%
发文量
30
期刊介绍: The disciplines of economics and philosophy each possess their own special analytical methods, whose combination is powerful and fruitful. Each discipline can be enriched by the other. Economics and Philosophy aims to promote their mutual enrichment by publishing articles and book reviews in all areas linking these subjects. Topics include the methodology and epistemology of economics, the foundations of decision theory and game theory, the nature of rational choice in general, historical work on economics with a philosophical purpose, ethical issues in economics, the use of economic techniques in ethical theory, and many other subjects.
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